TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Stars, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$717,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$723,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6b4…a278backed Rangers47c171,099$80,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,682.410349.5%51 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Stars54c144,052$77,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,369.191,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Stars53c40,000$21,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,2007946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rangers46c36,237$16,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,567.9488151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers46c23,852$10,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,880.051,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Stars55c19,892$10,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,894.431,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Stars55c17,483$9,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,662.221,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Rangers45c16,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.88952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Stars53c15,555$8,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,244.1521850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rangers46c14,010$6,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,565.422550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Stars54c12,666$6,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,839.55745.6%26 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Stars54c12,526$6,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,738.9956649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stars53c10,078$5,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,350.0938844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Stars53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.9531654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Stars1c7,994$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.942174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rangers47c7,447$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,946.8185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7d…4883backed Stars53c7,000$3,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Rangers46c6,522$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.7429651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e2…98a8backed Stars54c6,030$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4940…0de1backed Rangers46c6,030$2,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.21553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11a…e017backed Stars55c5,618$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,09020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf506…3dfdbacked Rangers45c5,611$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,086.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Stars53c5,500$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Rangers46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9625446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Rangers45c4,817$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.8627143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Rangers45c4,423$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.6524654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers43c4,135$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.491,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Stars54c4,121$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.7317744.6%79 W · 98 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Rangers45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20027548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Rangers46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Rangers46c3,876$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.0430551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers42c3,844$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,248.281,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Rangers55c3,694$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.488952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers46c3,500$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Stars54c3,333$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.821643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Rangers46c3,200$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72831851.9%165 W · 153 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rangers46c3,085$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.1562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Stars52c2,897$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.3275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e1…702fbacked Rangers46c2,826$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.091145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e0…04cfbacked Stars55c2,826$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.31546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars55c2,771$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.0425555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers44c2,650$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.6283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers46c2,508$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.3257453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Rangers46c2,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.9912445.2%56 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Stars53c2,442$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Rangers46c2,223$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.6548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Stars1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Rangers45c2,170$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.229850%49 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90db…f96cbacked Rangers47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e1…9d07backed Stars54c2,100$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79aa…92cbbacked Rangers47c2,100$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12063249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…4d37backed Rangers47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4df…5ac2backed Stars54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x834b…60e0backed Stars54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Stars54c1,944$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…e477backed Rangers47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…b693backed Stars54c1,900$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Stars53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf45d…8db7backed Stars55c1,870$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9d…330ebacked Rangers46c1,870$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…673fbacked Rangers47c1,800$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ad…1ebbbacked Rangers47c1,715$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe26d…ec5dbacked Stars55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd74…43c7backed Rangers46c1,606$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0621…13d1backed Rangers47c1,600$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rangers46c1,597$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.4693953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rangers28c1,548$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.712,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Rangers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79512041.7%50 W · 70 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Stars53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7957338.4%28 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc89d…5909backed Stars53c1,500$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80211254.5%61 W · 51 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7522…5ac7backed Stars54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f11…ce9fbacked Stars54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103850%19 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2820…a4cabacked Rangers46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Rangers42c1,472$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.185349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x356f…6254backed Rangers45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Stars54c1,296$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-65.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rangers46c1,265$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.971,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars58c1,204$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.032,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a9…0b72backed Rangers46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6483100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Rangers47c1,162$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.792445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Stars54c1,158$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.3219051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41e4…4e14backed Rangers47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+60%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d08…a8c2backed Stars53c1,080$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Stars2c1,044$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.031450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…bef2backed Stars55c1,043$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars55c1,017$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.351,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Stars1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Rangers48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe060…c21cbacked Rangers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Rangers46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54013946.8%65 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ea…f9bdbacked Rangers46c950$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5132100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+90.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Stars53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Stars54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008541.2%35 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Stars54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Rangers40c922$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.962944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb064…714dbacked Stars54c920$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.81435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.