NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a8e9b2dc980e2dc973815fff83c53be8056e84b7edd8371ee77390dd180f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 51c | 24,076$12,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,177.21 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 51c | 9,343$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.12 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 52c | 4,802$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 4,406$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 4,081$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 50c | 2,293$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.5 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,237$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.82 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 478$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 444$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 311$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 48c | 282.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 51c | 249.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 49c | 163$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 47c | 135.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 124.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 117.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Over | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 393 | 43%169 W · 224 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 105.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 198 | 44.4%88 W · 110 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 59.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Over | 53c | 59.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bd…f1c6backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 50c | 46.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 51c | 39.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 216 | 48.1%104 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…02b3backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Rangers won
- Stars vs. RangersRangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.