NFL · resolved market
Saints vs. Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee5a2f40b80ea982b65d885d29176075c665ce2764b059b5cdcb7f5022d99f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falconsof Saints, Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,043,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,172,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,043,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Saints | 37c | 86,368$31,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,539.86 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Falcons | 63c | 79,811$50,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,530.14 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Falcons | 67c | 70,000$46,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Saints | 35c | 68,611$24,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,013.68 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…72ebbacked Saints | 37c | 41,382$15,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,311.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 63c | 36,516$22,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,537.54 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Saints | 35c | 36,223$12,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,641.87 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Falcons | 66c | 34,325$22,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,773.85 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints | 33c | 33,799$11,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,316.9 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Falcons | 64c | 30,064$19,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,887.24 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons | 66c | 27,575$18,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,247.05 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Saints | 25c | 26,407$6,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,593.41 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Saints | 34c | 20,588$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Falcons | 65c | 20,014$13,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,005.18 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Saints | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons | 65c | 19,750$12,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,912.51 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Saints | 36c | 17,926$6,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,390.13 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Saints | 17c | 11,549$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.02 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Falcons | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Falcons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Saints | 34c | 9,812$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.15 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Saints | 0c | 9,652$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Saints | 35c | 8,560$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Saints | 35c | 8,533$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.49 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Saints | 36c | 8,461$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.96 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Falcons | 64c | 8,400$5,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons | 70c | 8,199$5,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.14 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Falcons | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Saints | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Falcons | 67c | 6,647$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,193.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Saints | 0c | 6,553$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 33c | 6,526$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.57 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Saints | 25c | 6,344$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.74 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Saints | 10c | 6,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.92 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Falcons | 66c | 6,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Saints | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saints | 33c | 5,868$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.5 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 64c | 5,824$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.2 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Saints | 33c | 5,143$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.19 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Saints | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Falcons | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.95 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Falcons | 65c | 4,526$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.73 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Saints | 34c | 4,426$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.69 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Saints | 34c | 4,319$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.73 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Falcons | 74c | 4,215$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.56 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Saints | 38c | 4,211$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Falcons | 67c | 4,182$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.57 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Falcons | 64c | 4,066$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.64 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Saints | 36c | 4,000$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Falcons | 68c | 3,682$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.81 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Falcons | 64c | 3,025$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.89 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Falcons | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Falcons | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Saints | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Falcons | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Saints | 1c | 2,779$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Falcons | 65c | 2,743$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.03 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Saints | 20c | 2,530$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.16 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Saints | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Saints | 6c | 2,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Saints | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 64c | 2,465$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.49 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Falcons | 64c | 2,438$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Falcons | 71c | 2,393$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.57 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Saints | 38c | 2,205$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Saints | 35c | 2,140$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Saints | 36c | 2,126$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.32 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Falcons | 65c | 2,054$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.9 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Falcons | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Falcons | 77c | 1,989$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Saints | 37c | 1,972$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.21 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Falcons | 62c | 1,943$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.42 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Falcons | 77c | 1,782$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Saints | 29c | 1,751$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Falcons | 72c | 1,721$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.11 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Saints | 28c | 1,654$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.27 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Saints | 35c | 1,649$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.57 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Saints | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Saints | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Saints | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Saints | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Falcons | 64c | 1,500$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Falcons | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Falcons | 64c | 1,428$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…99fbbacked Saints | 28c | 1,399$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.32 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Saints | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Saints | 36c | 1,344$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.29 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9c7dbacked Saints | 29c | 1,310$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Saints | 33c | 1,284$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Falcons | 67c | 1,284$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Saints | 32c | 1,167$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Saints | 20c | 1,100$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.84 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Saints | 26c | 1,082$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 36c | 1,079$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.57 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Falcons | 72c | 1,050$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Saints | 19c | 1,005$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…2751backed Saints | 35c | 1,001$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Saints | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2df…94b9backed Falcons | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saints vs. Falconsthis page
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 36.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Saints won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Saints won
- Spread: Falcons (-4.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.