NFL · resolved market
Spread: Falcons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e387a517f16e07e8159e8df6ff5785bed4b95ed2df86ec8f4e56e6c9e0546b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saintsof Falcons, Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $665,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $727,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $665,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 53c | 214,879$112,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,909.56 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Saints | 47c | 153,750$72,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,065.76 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Saints | 49c | 130,334$63,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,470.36 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Falcons | 51c | 110,000$56,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,100 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Falcons | 50c | 24,031$12,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,015.74 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Saints | 47c | 23,684$11,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,578.82 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Saints | 47c | 21,200$9,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,236 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Saints | 49c | 19,531$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,960.81 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Falcons | 49c | 19,342$9,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,439.47 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Saints | 50c | 17,120$8,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.02 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Falcons | 50c | 13,027$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,553.07 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Falcons | 50c | 12,765$6,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,372.88 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Saints | 48c | 12,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.97 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saints | 52c | 11,750$6,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.23 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Falcons | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Saints | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Saints | 49c | 9,715$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.14 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Saints | 49c | 8,841$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,534.53 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saints | 49c | 8,534$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310.92 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Falcons | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Falcons | 52c | 8,058$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Saints | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Falcons | 49c | 7,223$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.29 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Falcons | 53c | 6,852$3,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,631.42 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Saints | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Falcons | 53c | 5,637$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Falcons | 53c | 5,294$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.84 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Saints | 51c | 5,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Saints | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Saints | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Saints | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Saints | 49c | 3,965$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.42 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Saints | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.78 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Saints | 51c | 3,822$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Falcons | 53c | 3,689$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Falcons | 52c | 3,100$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.5 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Falcons | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Falcons | 52c | 2,739$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.56 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons | 44c | 2,712$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.08 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 51c | 2,401$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.83 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Saints | 52c | 2,035$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.45 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Saints | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Saints | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Saints | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Saints | 50c | 1,970$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Saints | 47c | 1,945$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.68 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…8af2backed Falcons | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Falcons | 53c | 1,819$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.46 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Falcons | 53c | 1,818$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons | 52c | 1,807$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.64 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Saints | 56c | 1,788$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.79 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saints | 49c | 1,552$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Saints | 51c | 1,539$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.19 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Saints | 49c | 1,513$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.06 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Falcons | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Falcons | 49c | 1,232$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.62 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Falcons | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Saints | 46c | 1,100$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Falcons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Saints | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.28 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Falcons | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Saints | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95c…f1d7backed Saints | 50c | 999.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Falcons | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Falcons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Falcons | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272b…0a6ebacked Saints | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…ffb2backed Falcons | 49c | 890.67$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saints | 69c | 857$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.55 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Saints | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Falcons | 64c | 825.93$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.61 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Falcons | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Falcons | 53c | 772.95$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.56 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Saints | 54c | 770.69$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.01 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…3258backed Falcons | 52c | 738.1$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Falcons | 51c | 715.69$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Falcons | 21c | 714$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Falcons | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Saints | 45c | 588.68$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0316…e283backed Falcons | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Falcons | 51c | 553$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.03 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…cc5bbacked Falcons | 51c | 522.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Falcons | 55c | 515.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.45 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Saints | 46c | 499.96$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Falcons | 51c | 487.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Saints | 56c | 453.91$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.12 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Saints | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Saints | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Falcons | 51c | 416$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Falcons | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Falcons | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Saints | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Falcons | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Saints | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Falcons | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…ba8fbacked Falcons | 51c | 378.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Falcons | 50c | 354.66$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa3…6877backed Falcons | 52c | 333.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saints | 20c | 332$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…edf8backed Falcons | 57c | 325.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)this page
- Saints vs. FalconsFalcons won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 36.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5Under won
- Saints vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Saints won
- Spread: Falcons (-4.5)Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.