NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd13d45aa7b3e790668418ae4e0c7b96381ea36385a19cb4b636fb6d87f6422f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,874,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,910,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,874,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Panthers | 60c | 343,020$205,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205,492.52 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Panthers | 62c | 335,486$206,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206,822.36 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 43c | 310,421$133,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,533.47 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 301,888$120,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,132.67 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 179,933$79,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,504.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Panthers | 55c | 108,974$60,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,409.99 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Panthers | 41c | 100,000$40,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,624.99 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Panthers | 60c | 70,669$42,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,608.09 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 70,000$27,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,250 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Panthers | 59c | 61,678$36,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,389.97 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 51,236$21,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,229.51 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Panthers | 26c | 40,124$10,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,282.63 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Panthers | 60c | 34,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 33,333$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,333.11 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Maple Leafs | 76c | 30,334$23,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,290.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Panthers | 62c | 26,510$16,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,336.23 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 23,558$16,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.93 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 15,555$6,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,488.55 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 62c | 15,151$9,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,425.58 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Panthers | 60c | 12,500$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Panthers | 60c | 12,476$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,485.35 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 11,778$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.57 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Panthers | 27c | 11,775$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.71 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Panthers | 60c | 11,700$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 10,160$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.6 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 10,000$3,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,166.67 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 9,734$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,893.37 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 9,381$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 9,290$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.99 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 8,974$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,474.36 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…5f9abacked Maple Leafs | 41c | 8,200$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,836 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 60c | 7,982$4,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,789.2 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Panthers | 28c | 7,510$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…fa21backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 7,300$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 6,755$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.28 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe82…b084backed Panthers | 59c | 6,400$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Panthers | 59c | 6,150$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.44 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 5,633$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,451.45 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 5,577$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.67 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…6b6abacked Panthers | 60c | 5,400$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 57c | 5,297$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,232$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.48 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Panthers | 60c | 5,200$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…41fbbacked Panthers | 59c | 5,200$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Panthers | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Panthers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Panthers | 31c | 4,807$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.25 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Panthers | 60c | 4,763$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.8 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,625$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,867.5 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…a86bbacked Panthers | 62c | 4,237$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…06e4backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,237$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…921bbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 4,159$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.58 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6f…ac36backed Panthers | 62c | 4,159$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Panthers | 58c | 4,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…eea8backed Panthers | 62c | 3,884$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…8077backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,884$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…5437backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,852$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2f…3a37backed Panthers | 62c | 3,852$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc836…8bcbbacked Panthers | 62c | 3,696$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c7…c937backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,696$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x220a…51e1backed Panthers | 62c | 3,669$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…0a2abacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,669$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc7…e1e9backed Panthers | 62c | 3,585$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…f77dbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,585$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Panthers | 59c | 3,443$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.13 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…ed5bbacked Panthers | 62c | 3,430$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.6 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…b56cbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,430$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Panthers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…d8a2backed Panthers | 62c | 3,361$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…f1d8backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,361$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.82 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…62c6backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,357$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…b218backed Panthers | 62c | 3,357$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Maple Leafs | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.13 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…377ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,310$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…7bacbacked Panthers | 62c | 3,310$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 3,295$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.64 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8498…f15abacked Panthers | 62c | 3,209$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,989.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…3abbbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,209$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…d6e9backed Panthers | 62c | 3,200$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f8…af6dbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,200$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers | 32c | 3,140$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.69 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…065ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,136$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…e389backed Panthers | 62c | 3,136$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…5203backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,127$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…e6b8backed Panthers | 62c | 3,127$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…ac75backed Panthers | 62c | 3,084$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…a30cbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,084$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42a5…cd60backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,985$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…3012backed Panthers | 62c | 2,985$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…c0dfbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,750$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde89…ea52backed Panthers | 62c | 2,750$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Panthers | 61c | 2,700$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…ce1ebacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,652$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…1bd9backed Panthers | 62c | 2,652$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…00a0backed Panthers | 62c | 2,646$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.