NFL · resolved market

Jets vs. Bills

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ce2667ff49e6ccbba8a60880073fbfcbef8596995ad7c4143d264d0393fd2b

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Billsof Jets, Bills
Resolved: Jan 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $823,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $885,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,526 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Jets	14c	115,000$16,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,099.99	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jets	15c	106,061$15,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,910.28	115	44.3%51 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Jets	20c	61,195$12,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,239	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jets	17c	30,756$5,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,190.57	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jets	15c	21,203$3,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180.52	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Jets	23c	18,242$4,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,112.68	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jets	17c	15,769$2,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,713.75	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bills	80c	15,293$12,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,058.67	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Jets	2c	13,328$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.11	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+5.2wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+53.1%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jets	0c	13,100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	98	0%0 W · 98 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Bills	80c	13,000$10,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Jets	3c	10,933$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Jets	19c	10,450$1,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.5	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Jets	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	170	47.1%80 W · 90 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Jets	21c	10,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Jets	18c	6,018$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.57	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jets	16c	5,967$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950.18	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Jets	21c	5,434$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.11	111	45.9%51 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Bills	78c	5,193$4,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,154.22	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…b6c9backed Jets	0c	5,016$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf70…5e92backed Bills	78c	5,000$3,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bills	79c	4,248$3,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.11	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jets	16c	4,243$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$674.25	318	54.7%174 W · 144 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Jets	21c	4,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+77.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jets	16c	4,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Bills	79c	4,000$3,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Jets	1c	3,837$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	148	6.8%10 W · 138 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	+296.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Bills	79c	3,596$2,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.88	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Bills	78c	3,205$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705.13	32	71.9%23 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	56cpaid	+39.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jets	16c	3,052$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.59	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets	16c	2,725$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.4	544	51.7%281 W · 263 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Jets	26c	2,702$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.91	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jets	16c	2,125$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3214…63d6backed Jets	15c	2,008$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-5.3wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jets	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets	18c	2,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9630…b278backed Jets	8c	1,823$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.71	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jets	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Jets	9c	1,444$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	49	22.4%11 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets	8c	1,402$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.34	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets	4c	1,396$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.85	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Jets	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jets	21c	1,200$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	276	33.3%92 W · 184 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Jets	1c	1,055$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Bills	77c	1,045$804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.31	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Jets	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Jets	22c	999.99$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ba…2481backed Jets	19c	899.98$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x019e…af1dbacked Bills	80c	888$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.6	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Jets	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Jets	20c	700.72$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.14	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Bills	80c	663.23$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.65	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-6.1wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jets	22c	644.78$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.16	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets	9c	569.77$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.17	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e27…0ee1backed Bills	79c	506.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.33	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…f1cfbacked Bills	77c	500$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	71cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa226…5092backed Jets	17c	500$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…ee32backed Jets	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+4.2wins	+0.42per pick	38cpaid	+104%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1045…6839backed Bills	79c	481.01$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Jets	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+6.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Jets	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+4.6wins	+0.18per pick	28cpaid	+41%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa32c…5608backed Jets	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed Bills	80c	430.94$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.19	50	66%33 W · 17 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1977…32e8backed Jets	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	199	48.2%96 W · 103 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Jets	21c	353.48$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.23	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbb…92efbacked Jets	21c	350$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Bills	78c	325$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.5	196	38.8%76 W · 120 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f4…959cbacked Jets	3c	320.81$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	106	39.6%42 W · 64 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Jets	17c	320.01$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.21	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2391…3d6abacked Bills	79c	303.8$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Jets	22c	300$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Jets	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Jets	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Bills	76c	300$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	212	51.9%110 W · 102 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e7…c309backed Bills	79c	298.61$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.71	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Jets	23c	298.35$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.57	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c56…269fbacked Bills	79c	291.14$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.14	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	-7.2wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7e56…35cbbacked Jets	15c	274.51$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Jets	21c	265.54$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.8	145	32.4%47 W · 98 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e3…f0adbacked Bills	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked Bills	79c	240.51$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.51	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	74cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Jets	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Jets	19c	221.16$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Bills	80c	220$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46da…724ebacked Bills	79c	201.27$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.27	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2e…bf82backed Jets	22c	201$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.22	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Jets	22c	200$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Jets	23c	200$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Jets	16c	179.21$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.05	134	49.3%66 W · 68 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…8416backed Bills	79c	177.22$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.22	97	57.7%56 W · 41 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf418…b2ccbacked Bills	79c	164.56$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.56	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	67cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe44b…99fbbacked Jets	10c	157.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	81	32.1%26 W · 55 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43d…1e75backed Jets	22c	156.57$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.45	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6022…7497backed Jets	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Jets	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	+4.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Bills	77c	149.98$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.5	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Jets	16c	143.75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	50	54%27 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jets	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	51%49 W · 47 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Jets	16c	142.33$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Jets	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	32cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jets vs. Bills

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event