TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x67e3…f0ad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$168.93
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$642.91
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$184.93
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$276.82
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$229
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$123.85
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$65.31
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$116.94
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+100%+$240
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$139.58
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$224.67
Nets vs. Pelicansbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+75.4%+$105.61
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$128.25
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$81.56
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$82.42
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+203%+$71.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$99.65
SHL: Timraa vs. Linkoepingbacked Timraa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$159.3
Rangers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+53.8%+$152.89
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$155.45
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$207
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+66.7%+$188.36
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$328
Devils vs. Wildbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+163.2%+$228.42
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Penguins vs. Blackhawksbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$127.87
Utah vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+42.9%+$57.86
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$263
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.3
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$643Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$377.59
Como 1907 vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$185
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$91.32
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$161.39
Crystal Palace FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+49.3%+$212.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.