NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca9c18a7a8d9e7f6e119fbb1549fc47a4e05073e1418dc0bf681cbd2f25eacb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Rangers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $841,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $989,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Penguins | 66c | 154,141$101,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,417.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 65c | 140,000$90,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,599.95 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 35c | 102,570$35,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,921.58 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Rangers | 34c | 100,000$34,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Rangers | 35c | 92,029$31,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,960.18 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 65c | 31,253$20,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,843.77 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Rangers | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…ded0backed Rangers | 35c | 26,346$9,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,221.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 35c | 22,624$7,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,938.58 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 65c | 21,254$13,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.37 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Penguins | 66c | 20,566$13,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,009.31 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Rangers | 0c | 14,079$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 66c | 13,977$9,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Penguins | 65c | 13,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 34c | 12,500$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Rangers | 0c | 10,610$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Rangers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rangers | 36c | 10,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…aa21backed Rangers | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Rangers | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 66c | 7,033$4,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.22 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 35c | 6,793$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.32 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 36c | 6,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers | 35c | 5,997$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.93 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…4537backed Rangers | 36c | 5,076$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Rangers | 36c | 5,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Penguins | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.99 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Rangers | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers | 34c | 4,955$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.8 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers | 34c | 4,953$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.9 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Rangers | 3c | 4,803$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Rangers | 35c | 4,429$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 34c | 4,304$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Rangers | 1c | 3,999$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Penguins | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.2 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 66c | 2,555$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.25 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Rangers | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.91 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Rangers | 33c | 2,216$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.57 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Rangers | 34c | 2,200$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers | 34c | 2,200$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…b5e9backed Rangers | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…94f8backed Penguins | 65c | 1,890$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 14c | 1,846$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.45 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Penguins | 66c | 1,841$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.91 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 78c | 1,817$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.38 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Rangers | 35c | 1,800$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…7f60backed Penguins | 65c | 1,665$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Rangers | 1c | 1,645$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…c9d7backed Penguins | 65c | 1,521$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Penguins | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…936abacked Penguins | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Rangers | 35c | 1,500$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 3c | 1,441$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers | 35c | 1,400$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.58 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Penguins | 64c | 1,399$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.07 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers | 21c | 1,302$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Penguins | 75c | 1,203$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.57 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…4705backed Rangers | 1c | 1,184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 27c | 1,130$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.6 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Rangers | 37c | 1,122$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.99 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Penguins | 63c | 1,120$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Rangers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Rangers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rangers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Rangers | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Penguins | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…865fbacked Penguins | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 14c | 996.5$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…f949backed Rangers | 8c | 980.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Penguins | 66c | 959.69$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 19c | 947.11$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.92 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…4508backed Penguins | 69c | 944.59$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.46 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Rangers | 36c | 923$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.32 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…3af7backed Rangers | 34c | 849.93$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rangers | 36c | 846$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…5918backed Penguins | 66c | 840$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…6f75backed Penguins | 67c | 825.65$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Rangers | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Rangers | 25c | 794.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 34c | 785.19$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.96 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rangers | 34c | 751.73$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rangers | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Rangers | 36c | 744.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 20c | 667.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.96 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 65c | 666.78$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.37 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Penguins | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Rangers | 35c | 599.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 33c | 586.93$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Penguins | 67c | 564.23$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rangers | 36c | 535.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.88 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Penguins | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Rangers | 35c | 520.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Penguins | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Rangers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Penguins | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Rangers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.