College Football · resolved market
Louisiana vs. Arkansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea6e6106e6df2470c30119b8d5994bd4b5593beb7cae7afd180e77fc39f472c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisianaof Louisiana, Arkansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Arkansas State | 58c | 43,478$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Louisiana | 39c | 43,198$16,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,404.74 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Louisiana | 42c | 22,953$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,312.67 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Arkansas State | 58c | 22,929$13,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,305.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Arkansas State | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.99 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Arkansas State | 56c | 19,338$10,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,890.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed9…e1c6backed Arkansas State | 41c | 18,700$7,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,724.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana | 51c | 17,572$9,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,534.9 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Louisiana | 43c | 16,270$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,273.62 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Louisiana | 43c | 14,912$6,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,499.62 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State | 61c | 12,476$7,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.27 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…c62bbacked Louisiana | 44c | 11,514$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arkansas State | 56c | 10,220$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.57 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisiana | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Arkansas State | 56c | 8,832$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,948.08 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Arkansas State | 68c | 7,847$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.4 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arkansas State | 64c | 7,821$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.55 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Louisiana | 44c | 7,528$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.64 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana | 68c | 6,618$4,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.14 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State | 56c | 6,364$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,563.93 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d79…5e4cbacked Louisiana | 44c | 6,218$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…8fd6backed Arkansas State | 56c | 6,216$3,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Arkansas State | 55c | 5,112$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.68 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Arkansas State | 38c | 4,545$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.68 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Louisiana | 45c | 4,422$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.57 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Arkansas State | 56c | 4,113$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.28 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas State | 47c | 4,075$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.88 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Arkansas State | 57c | 4,052$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.22 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana | 46c | 3,590$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.97 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisiana | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Louisiana | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.99 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Arkansas State | 56c | 3,368$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.21 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana | 55c | 3,179$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.43 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Louisiana | 44c | 3,012$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.78 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Louisiana | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Arkansas State | 4c | 2,700$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Louisiana | 77c | 2,607$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Louisiana | 44c | 2,256$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.36 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana | 41c | 2,124$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.37 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Louisiana | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Arkansas State | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas State | 52c | 1,967$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.72 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Louisiana | 43c | 1,900$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Louisiana | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Louisiana | 27c | 1,481$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.21 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Arkansas State | 55c | 1,388$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.71 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Arkansas State | 48c | 1,323$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.12 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Arkansas State | 1c | 1,216$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Louisiana | 55c | 1,158$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arkansas State | 38c | 1,078$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.57 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Louisiana | 38c | 1,043$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.19 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Louisiana | 44c | 933.77$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.14 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Louisiana | 73c | 850$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana | 69c | 840.15$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Louisiana | 75c | 806.52$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…7dadbacked Arkansas State | 50c | 771.41$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…619abacked Louisiana | 48c | 752.25$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Arkansas State | 55c | 717.87$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Arkansas State | 57c | 705$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.85 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Louisiana | 54c | 691.29$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…f526backed Louisiana | 48c | 686.86$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…45d0backed Arkansas State | 50c | 681.45$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Louisiana | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Arkansas State | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…cdbabacked Louisiana | 64c | 587.2$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Louisiana | 44c | 567.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.1 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Louisiana | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Louisiana | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Arkansas State | 57c | 500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Louisiana | 44c | 477.63$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.47 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Arkansas State | 56c | 467.9$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.78 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Arkansas State | 55c | 442.72$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Arkansas State | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…0620backed Louisiana | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…ee3bbacked Arkansas State | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…343cbacked Louisiana | 45c | 362.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Louisiana | 68c | 352.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Arkansas State | 12c | 349.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…2f2ebacked Louisiana | 76c | 347.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…0305backed Arkansas State | 49c | 325.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Louisiana | 43c | 304.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.31 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Arkansas State | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…82b7backed Arkansas State | 54c | 284.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Arkansas State | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Arkansas State | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a3…35ccbacked Arkansas State | 57c | 261$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee8…b645backed Louisiana | 44c | 258$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458e…fa79backed Louisiana | 43c | 255$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…e96ebacked Arkansas State | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Arkansas State | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…cbcbbacked Arkansas State | 52c | 244.35$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…0c4cbacked Louisiana | 44c | 233$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…96abbacked Louisiana | 44c | 232$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Louisiana | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27c…1106backed Arkansas State | 57c | 229$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Louisiana | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…548fbacked Louisiana | 44c | 217$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…10afbacked Louisiana | 44c | 217$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…bf50backed Louisiana | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas State | 49c | 210.44$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statethis page
- Louisiana vs. Arkansas State: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5)Louisiana won
- Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5)Louisiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.