TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,000

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Under55c50,000$27,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,518.3455053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c11,750$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Over45c11,141$5,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,013.518860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc089…633cbacked Over45c4,857$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,185.65955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.291,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over45c2,727$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.158360.2%50 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8905,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over44c1,705$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75049158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over45c1,654$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.483,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over44c1,608$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.986,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under56c1,553$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3439047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under54c1,456$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.762245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over41c1,370$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2699624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over44c1,364$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011652.6%61 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Under54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4822753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under56c1,042$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.9173748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44070744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c992.32$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.621,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Over46c880$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.821550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over45c851.2$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0438353.5%205 W · 178 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over45c800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c778$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.11,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over44c695.68$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.413,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under55c639.44$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.551,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under55c552.59$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.6759549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over45c467.2$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.241,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under76c429$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.221,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1762,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under55c399.95$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.986,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under62c348.69$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032857.9%190 W · 138 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over45c302$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.940341.4%167 W · 236 L-20.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c301.5$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.152,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over50c276.72$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.451,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over50c202$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.091,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over45c172.85$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7856253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under56c159.27$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0851555.7%287 W · 228 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over45c158.34$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2530048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under62c138$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.121,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e3…f0adbacked Over46c112.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under56c109.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3840554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c104.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.048,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4484651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over48c96.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.12,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over47c95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6541637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b7…ad02backed Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.293938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over68c88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.845,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over52c83.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5766056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over18c79.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433032.7%108 W · 222 L-22.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under50c77.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.442,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over24c71.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.224,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c66.58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.618,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over51c61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.999752.6%51 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over52c59.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Over45c57.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7115650%78 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf86…984cbacked Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7468…3d24backed Over45c48.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under32c44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.923,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c42.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Over46c40.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6711346%52 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over45c37.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.937646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked Under56c37.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3926753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over44c35.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8367453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7123455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Over45c35.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1611149.5%55 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.299447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c25.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.834,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under56c24.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8311551.3%59 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under45c24.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4723854.2%129 W · 109 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over52c23.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131,14948.9%562 W · 587 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under80c23.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.679,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…5c31backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed Over50c20.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x829a…a748backed Under56c20.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8218751.9%97 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.