MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a1edc35274241295861054f5417bad896220d1050a1974e53a7dffb239e316d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 8,547$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,748.54 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 2,595$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.07 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 2,138$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.98 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 1,476$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.98 | 1,875 | 52.1%976 W · 899 L | +52.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,219$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.17 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 1,060$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 999.84$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.96 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 757.17$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.75 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 728.68$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 375.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.81 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 361.31$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 68c | 329.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.06 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 16c | 311$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 251.41$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.36 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 236.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 197.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 1,003 | 24.7%248 W · 755 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 174$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 130$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 120.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,045 | 52%543 W · 502 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 120$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 106$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 2,349 | 49.9%1,172 W · 1,177 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 105.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 3,857 | 42.3%1,632 W · 2,225 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 8,654 | 52.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L | +506.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 98.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 73.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 2,593 | 61.5%1,595 W · 998 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,960 | 41.4%812 W · 1,148 L | -25.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 65.58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 29c | 52.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 2,549 | 45.8%1,168 W · 1,381 L | -75.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 49.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 19 | 94.7%18 W · 1 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 66cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 37.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 28.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 5,848 | 43.7%2,556 W · 3,292 L | -189.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.