TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,548

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c19,981$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,980.5337953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c18,283$8,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,738.34,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Milwaukee Brewers54c12,500$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,75047953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Milwaukee Brewers48c11,059$5,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.282,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c10,807$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,806.8523846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c10,046$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,046.4324344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers52c7,454$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8872,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers51c7,220$3,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,698.4411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers52c6,667$3,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,462.813,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers51c4,075$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.151,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.9944851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c3,032$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5165747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5305,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers51c2,632$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3486,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers25c2,426$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,809.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers75c2,108$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.2410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers49c2,004$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.248,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9903551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Milwaukee Brewers54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c1,901$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.472240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdb9…e5cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c1,538$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-38.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Milwaukee Brewers54c1,120$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Milwaukee Brewers45c1,022$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Milwaukee Brewers50c1,017$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6321550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Milwaukee Brewers49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c932.23$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Milwaukee Brewers55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3854852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Milwaukee Brewers51c560.87$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.242,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Milwaukee Brewers51c515$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.651,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Milwaukee Brewers51c515$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.651,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Milwaukee Brewers54c457.8$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.681,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c457.34$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.397361.6%45 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Milwaukee Brewers14c400$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5648354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers34c368.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.363,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Milwaukee Brewers52c346.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1984049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fb…b4aebacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c309.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8911550.4%58 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Milwaukee Brewers53c308.02$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.2575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Milwaukee Brewers53c218.07$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5849450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c214.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.893868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7729331.7%93 W · 200 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c205.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6811542.6%49 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c205$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.657046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0829344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Milwaukee Brewers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Milwaukee Brewers54c189.99$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…27f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c155.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.11560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Milwaukee Brewers54c152.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.841637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.356440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Milwaukee Brewers52c127$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.048749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Milwaukee Brewers51c117.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.211,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3847849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Milwaukee Brewers49c103.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5155643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Milwaukee Brewers16c102.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3899624.6%245 W · 751 L-70.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers51c101.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.792,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.51,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5084651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Milwaukee Brewers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5173653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Los Angeles Dodgers24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Milwaukee Brewers54c86.23$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Milwaukee Brewers54c80.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.251,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers54c77$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.581,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers36c74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.363,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.499447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Milwaukee Brewers65c48$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.21,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers46c47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c46.74$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.242,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Milwaukee Brewers52c44.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311658.6%68 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers41c44.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.968,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers49c41.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.311,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c39.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.781,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Milwaukee Brewers51c39.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208140.7%33 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Milwaukee Brewers51c39.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.072,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Milwaukee Brewers49c38.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7240148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22b…d891backed Milwaukee Brewers52c38.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c37.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.413148.9%64 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Milwaukee Brewers29c36.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.561,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c36.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.061,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Milwaukee Brewers50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1778155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6111855.9%66 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159150.5%46 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf604…4976backed Milwaukee Brewers51c24.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.391729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Milwaukee Brewers53c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers71c23.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7655847.7%266 W · 292 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1641…a37fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c20.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c20.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.13655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692c…aadebacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers76c19.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.824,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.