MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe337c7b4a9750c7ed695fb0fe7886aaab2c95a766e7fd361a41f9215125a0db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 13,572$8,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,726 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 10,224$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,095.39 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 27c | 8,172$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,948.52 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 55c | 5,556$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.96 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,723$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 23c | 696.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 78c | 423.99$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 46c | 212$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 64c | 186.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.59 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 162.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 44c | 110.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 65c | 94.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 73c | 89.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 85.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7dfbbacked Over | 18c | 79.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 330 | 32.7%108 W · 222 L | -22.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Over | 69c | 72.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 72.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 67c | 66.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 58.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 45c | 36.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 35.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 42c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Over | 73c | 33.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 80c | 31.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Under | 52c | 30.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Over | 55c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 73c | 21.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…d48ebacked Over | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.