NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5b66a47024f99db3baec6e25f7b16682d4dd6e716feb3b70b832328d888d902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Cavaliers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,038,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,211,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,038,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Cavaliers | 43c | 400,000$172,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,749.8 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cavaliers | 46c | 153,260$70,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,323.22 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Cavaliers | 44c | 138,500$60,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,939.85 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 102,040$57,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,444.69 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 44c | 100,609$43,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,914.96 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 90,000$51,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,699.94 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 44c | 88,122$38,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,504.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 65c | 86,159$55,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,287.52 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 57c | 69,197$39,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,754.91 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 59,589$33,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,623.21 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Timberwolves | 57c | 47,291$26,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,334.97 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 41,483$23,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,296.55 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 40,000$22,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,200 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Cavaliers | 5c | 40,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Cavaliers | 24c | 37,558$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200.33 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 57c | 33,238$18,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,378.25 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 58c | 33,086$19,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,831.79 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 11c | 30,603$3,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,430.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Timberwolves | 57c | 30,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Timberwolves | 56c | 30,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.9 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 25,408$11,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,507.88 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Timberwolves | 56c | 25,255$14,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,052.77 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Timberwolves | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 45c | 24,883$11,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,102.85 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 23,119$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.21 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Timberwolves | 58c | 20,079$11,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,433.37 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 20,005$8,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,802.2 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Timberwolves | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Timberwolves | 57c | 20,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,500 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 19,998$8,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.14 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 56c | 19,679$11,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,660.72 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Cavaliers | 43c | 18,890$8,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,122.7 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 55c | 18,828$10,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,564.83 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 16,502$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 56c | 16,180$9,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.92 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…d7b4backed Cavaliers | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 12c | 13,756$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.71 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…3d6abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 13,742$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81cb…a228backed Timberwolves | 56c | 12,734$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 12,531$6,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,594.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Timberwolves | 57c | 12,000$6,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,189.99 | 164 | 36.6%60 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Timberwolves | 58c | 11,954$6,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,988.24 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Cavaliers | 12c | 11,814$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.18 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Cavaliers | 9c | 11,439$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 63c | 11,385$7,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.11 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 10,049$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,421.51 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Cavaliers | 44c | 10,005$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.29 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Cavaliers | 44c | 10,001$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.44 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Cavaliers | 44c | 10,000$4,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.29 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Cavaliers | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…95c3backed Cavaliers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 201 | 46.3%93 W · 108 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Cavaliers | 15c | 8,638$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.91 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 8,535$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Cavaliers | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Timberwolves | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Timberwolves | 56c | 8,000$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.99 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbc…34d5backed Cavaliers | 7c | 7,935$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.81 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…eb26backed Cavaliers | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Timberwolves | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.41 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Cavaliers | 0c | 6,818$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Timberwolves | 58c | 6,569$3,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.01 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177f…956cbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 6,562$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Timberwolves | 71c | 6,522$4,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.24 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 50c | 6,126$3,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.89 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Timberwolves | 55c | 5,974$3,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.91 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…a6c5backed Cavaliers | 4c | 5,958$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,812$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.66 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 5,654$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.56 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cavaliers | 36c | 5,595$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.23 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers | 0c | 5,431$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Cavaliers | 43c | 5,403$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.24 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 5,317$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.55 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cavaliers | 33c | 5,297$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.51 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 42c | 5,130$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.76 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Cavaliers | 43c | 5,100$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 44c | 5,100$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 57c | 5,000$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.98 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Cavaliers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.94 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…7bc2backed Cavaliers | 42c | 4,999$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c6…1f80backed Timberwolves | 57c | 4,999$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 4,814$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.44 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 4,801$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.42 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Cavaliers | 43c | 4,800$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…cb7bbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 4,572$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Timberwolves | 57c | 4,300$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Cavaliers | 4c | 4,250$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Cavaliers | 34c | 4,182$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.76 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…5102backed Timberwolves | 58c | 4,157$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.78 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf76b…2251backed Timberwolves | 57c | 4,100$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Cavaliers | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Cavaliers | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.96 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c01…1168backed Cavaliers | 6c | 3,880$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 3,836$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6d29backed Timberwolves | 58c | 3,806$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.51 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 54c | 3,769$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.81 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…ffd6backed Timberwolves | 58c | 3,733$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.66 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Timberwolves | 56c | 3,729$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.26 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.