NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d8cd2a0a6f4f505ec3544468eac4c9f23a2200719d34609891a503fd50e34b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 12,675$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,911.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 55c | 7,282$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.2 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,268$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,718$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.41 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers | 55c | 5,035$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.76 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,416$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.08 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…eca5backed Cavaliers | 21c | 4,399$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.39 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 59c | 2,798$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.69 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 57c | 2,159$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 78c | 1,842$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.64 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 48c | 1,627$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,483$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.99 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,253$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,053$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,044$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,024$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Timberwolves | 44c | 1,020$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.85 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 865$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.1 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Cavaliers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 620$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.8 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 47c | 602.46$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.3 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 594.37$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.91 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 554.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.8 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers | 53c | 550$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Timberwolves | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 4c | 485.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Timberwolves | 46c | 468.24$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5729backed Cavaliers | 47c | 424.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 398$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Cavaliers | 47c | 304.23$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.11 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Timberwolves | 69c | 294.13$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Timberwolves | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 220.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cavaliers | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 209.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 202.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 184.72$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Cavaliers | 36c | 173.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Timberwolves | 47c | 161.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Timberwolves | 57c | 151.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Timberwolves | 66c | 145.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 44c | 145.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.31 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 50c | 143.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Timberwolves | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Cavaliers | 39c | 134.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 163 | 21.5%35 W · 128 L | -20.3wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves | 49c | 122.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…f4e2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed Timberwolves | 41c | 117.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Cavaliers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Timberwolves | 69c | 107$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…aa48backed Timberwolves | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 46c | 91.8$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 85.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…4de3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 84.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Cavaliers | 53c | 83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 77.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Timberwolves | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 62.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…89e1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Timberwolves | 47c | 58.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Cavaliers | 53c | 56.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Timberwolves | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Timberwolves | 47c | 49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 48.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 48.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…3ca1backed Timberwolves | 64c | 46.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…8d18backed Cavaliers | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f9…f6c4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 36.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 34.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d1…6288backed Cavaliers | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 29.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 58c | 28.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedf…8817backed Cavaliers | 54c | 28.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…9971backed Cavaliers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 281 | 56.2%158 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…7f18backed Cavaliers | 54c | 27.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Cavaliers | 49c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Timberwolves | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.