NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1bbb6f8e82c6d38b5d7238f1e077322ce3bdfddaa38bebb92b807f83eb123d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 7,307$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 5,689$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,568$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 58c | 1,183$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Cavaliers | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 70c | 954.76$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Cavaliers | 16c | 676$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Cavaliers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 490.65$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 455$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.35 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 43c | 340.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.58 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c1…18c7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 255$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Timberwolves | 44c | 253.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Cavaliers | 57c | 214$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cavaliers | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Cavaliers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Cavaliers | 50c | 163.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 74c | 162.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 46c | 148.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Cavaliers | 41c | 126.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Timberwolves | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Cavaliers | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…4cddbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 44c | 87.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Cavaliers | 58c | 86.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Cavaliers | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Cavaliers | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Cavaliers | 55c | 84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 83.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Cavaliers | 60c | 83.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…4694backed Timberwolves | 74c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Cavaliers | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Cavaliers | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Cavaliers | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 62.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Cavaliers | 52c | 58.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Cavaliers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…9b10backed Cavaliers | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…f9acbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 48.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Timberwolves | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Timberwolves | 52c | 45.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Timberwolves | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Cavaliers | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Cavaliers | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Timberwolves | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Timberwolves | 55c | 36.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Timberwolves | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Cavaliers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Timberwolves | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Cavaliers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Cavaliers | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -10.7wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Cavaliers | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Cavaliers | 54c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.