TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9087…d582

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$34.12
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.06
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.11
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.72
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+112.8%+$44.35
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.06
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$173.14
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.22
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.93
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+84.5%+$51.78
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+51.6%+$7.76
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+71%+$96.11
Pacers vs. Hornets: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.87
All 18 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.9
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.94
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+131.3%+$14.13
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+134.4%+$111.74
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+42.5%+$71.58
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-10.5)backed Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+86.9%+$17.37
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pacific Tigers vs. Portland Pilotsbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. UTEP Minersbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Spread: Idaho Vandals (-3.5)backed Montana Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.72
Denver Pioneers vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbitsbacked Denver Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
UNCW Seahawks vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.14
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Stetson Hattersbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25.05
Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+102.7%+$15.51
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$65.82
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Getafe CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.