NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2581c70ed04232a870e1db6df2aea87d7e852a16f4143c7fca89ef2ad789b520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 46c | 11,976$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.07 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 55c | 6,131$3,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 54c | 3,768$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers | 43c | 3,358$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.61 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 47c | 3,348$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 54c | 1,920$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.6 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers | 55c | 1,301$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.97 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 43c | 1,244$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed 76ers | 60c | 866.07$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.24 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed 76ers | 57c | 351$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.93 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 53c | 250.41$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.71 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers | 49c | 170.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 47c | 153$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Magic | 59c | 153$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Magic | 45c | 108.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…8213backed Magic | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked 76ers | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Magic | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Magic | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 76ers | 52c | 93.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 27c | 86.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 45c | 76.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed 76ers | 40c | 74.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 216 | 42.1%91 W · 125 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers | 43c | 72.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 56c | 71.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…eaeebacked 76ers | 55c | 68.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers | 58c | 64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers | 54c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Magic | 45c | 52.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked 76ers | 54c | 50.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Magic | 45c | 45.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 57c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed 76ers | 50c | 37.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9087…d582backed Magic | 45c | 33.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed 76ers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked 76ers | 77c | 25.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Magic | 49c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Magic | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Magic | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5531…5ef0backed Magic | 47c | 24.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed 76ers | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Magic won
- 76ers vs. Magic76ers won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.