NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d8cd9eb6387cc612a4036913370c821b56c127e30f11343408b17d793305810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 10,752$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.3 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 52c | 8,525$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 7,860$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,789.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 49c | 6,345$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,109.1 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Under | 53c | 3,813$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.3 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 3,608$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.94 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 49c | 2,068$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.32 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 2,042$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.09 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 1,567$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.98 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 47c | 939$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 18c | 712.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 57c | 555$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Over | 44c | 536.49$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f64…098ebacked Under | 50c | 524$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 517$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 328.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 8c | 249.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 55c | 223.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 41c | 211.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 197.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 168.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 38c | 146.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 41c | 73.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Under | 78c | 69.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 49c | 60.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 38c | 55.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…1a9dbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d75…3cd2backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 49c | 37.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 36.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 51c | 21.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Magic won
- 76ers vs. Magic76ers won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.