NBA · resolved market
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa94d1348f164defd9b51209c71ede69aadf99d3bc79a75bc8b49e494a293211b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof 76ers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 46c | 30,489$14,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,132.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4b88backed 76ers | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 47c | 13,967$6,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,526.63 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers | 53c | 10,815$5,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.23 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers | 53c | 9,521$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,520.65 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 49c | 3,043$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.83 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 47c | 3,003$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 76ers | 51c | 1,359$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.19 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 49c | 1,065$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.88 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Magic | 54c | 933.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…a298backed Magic | 50c | 830$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…235ebacked 76ers | 51c | 720$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 47c | 633.43$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Magic | 46c | 543$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.78 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 46c | 536.4$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed 76ers | 49c | 473.28$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.37 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked 76ers | 53c | 430.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 46c | 424.77$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 46c | 418$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 52c | 383.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed 76ers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed 76ers | 50c | 261.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.92 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed 76ers | 53c | 253.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 403 | 46.2%186 W · 217 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Magic | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked 76ers | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed 76ers | 53c | 125.2$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers | 76c | 120.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…cf55backed 76ers | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Magic | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed 76ers | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Magic | 50c | 79.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed 76ers | 47c | 77.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed 76ers | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked 76ers | 46c | 70.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers | 50c | 66.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Magic | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed 76ers | 51c | 58.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed 76ers | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 76ers | 48c | 50.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed 76ers | 48c | 48.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed 76ers | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…a799backed Magic | 49c | 43.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked 76ers | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Magic | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked 76ers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Magic | 49c | 37.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…fba3backed 76ers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…edffbacked 76ers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed 76ers | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers | 53c | 36.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Magic | 49c | 35.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked 76ers | 52c | 31.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked 76ers | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Magic | 47c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb771…e3fbbacked 76ers | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7c…f77cbacked 76ers | 51c | 29.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed 76ers | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Magic | 47c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Magic | 46c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…bf78backed 76ers | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed 76ers | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Magic won
- 76ers vs. Magic76ers won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.