TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,224 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic51c132,877$67,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,494.742,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Magic52c50,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,999.9917251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf42…d698backed 76ers49c45,955$22,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,437.1417031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers48c44,915$21,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,355.881,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers49c40,030$19,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,415.350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed 76ers49c38,652$18,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,712.5229351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magic51c13,072$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.721,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbea3…be9abacked 76ers51c8,820$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.871233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 76ers49c8,666$4,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.823,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Magic49c8,423$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,127.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed 76ers48c5,932$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.6823747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed 76ers49c4,959$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.7789050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic51c4,705$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Magic79c4,537$3,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.517064.3%45 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked 76ers49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6333447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers49c4,022$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.142,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers48c3,332$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.24,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers44c3,076$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Magic51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9917250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Magic50c2,664$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.252,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Magic49c2,391$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.6817554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked 76ers57c2,349$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.9916335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed 76ers26c2,010$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.43,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic52c1,922$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.133,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Magic51c1,391$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.114734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed 76ers48c1,239$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.162,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd586…b5c5backed 76ers49c1,078$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.551090%9 W · 1 L+4.1wins+0.41per pick49cpaid+82.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Magic51c999$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4923630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed 76ers9c944.2$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.2235326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers49c621$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.711,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Magic49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29419556.9%111 W · 84 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Magic48c588.7$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6826638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Magic52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers47c504.02$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.135,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers50c500$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Magic52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2604348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers47c453$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.092,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked 76ers48c449.63$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.819557.9%55 W · 40 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0986…9c4bbacked Magic52c410.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3119649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Magic50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Magic52c396.15$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20668542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked 76ers50c320$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1608344.6%37 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked 76ers7c300$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2798512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Magic52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Magic51c273$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14025056.8%142 W · 108 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked 76ers9c250$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.513228.8%38 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers49c205$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5578652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed 76ers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0893036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Magic50c201.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Magic52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10451651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed 76ers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10616657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed 76ers9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1823818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed 76ers51c195.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.618954.5%103 W · 86 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 76ers28c170$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.42,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e38…bdb3backed Magic63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed 76ers49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Magic25c105$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.314727.2%40 W · 107 L-21.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Magic52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Magic50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…74cfbacked Magic52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4937357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa7…2e1abacked 76ers51c94.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.442045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Magic55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed 76ers51c81$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.694153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Magic52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed 76ers50c67.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.087450%37 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc29b…6012backed Magic60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Magic50c58.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4859141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed 76ers52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7728251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked 76ers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Magic53c44.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5523845.4%108 W · 130 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked 76ers49c41.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.222,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c1…88a3backed 76ers49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.824348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 76ers50c40.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e96…e9f8backed 76ers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked 76ers51c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.119446.8%44 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Magic52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Magic52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205152.9%27 W · 24 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked 76ers49c38.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4828943.3%125 W · 164 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked 76ers49c36.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5852246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Magic50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157435.1%26 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90dd…c435backed 76ers52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed 76ers52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857639.5%30 W · 46 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Magic49c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.723154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Magic72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034050.3%171 W · 169 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b3…27babacked Magic49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.232445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed 76ers50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a6…08a0backed Magic52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed 76ers49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4912062.5%75 W · 45 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed 76ers52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked 76ers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…f17dbacked Magic50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107930.4%24 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.