NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6792948745df0e4035dffe9dad2795a18d934de855fee6c66eb61afabb94b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ae…3020backed Over | 52c | 138,072$71,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,672.97 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 49,562$23,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,646.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 18,093$8,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,408.36 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 54c | 10,611$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Under | 51c | 9,783$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,783.27 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 46c | 8,883$4,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.73 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 7,885$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100.2 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 53c | 7,134$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.09 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 6,663$3,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.34 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…e59fbacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 50c | 5,640$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Under | 53c | 4,613$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.66 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 3,686$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…d25bbacked Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a66…2aebbacked Under | 48c | 2,875$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.98 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Under | 48c | 2,448$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.92 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,135$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.6 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Under | 48c | 1,902$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.08 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 48c | 1,656$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 7c | 1,579$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,132$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 826.23$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.16 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 32c | 819$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.55 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 761$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 32c | 558.78$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…2bedbacked Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 443$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 410.06$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 409.86$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 265.41$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb1…a3dbbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee93…55cebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…8a75backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba2…eaa6backed Over | 49c | 136.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Under | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…2542backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 76.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 48c | 74.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 50.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 45.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 39.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 50c | 37.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 44c | 30.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 56c | 25.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 50c | 25.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 22.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-1.5)Magic won
- 76ers vs. Magic76ers won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: 76ers (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.