TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,174,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,251,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,174,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 930 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed 76ers60c829,904$497,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332,195.3310049%49 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Magic40c250,041$99,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,680.541,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Magic40c200,000$80,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,0004452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Magic40c149,296$59,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,718.4924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Magic41c109,401$44,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,854.5154539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Magic41c100,707$41,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,482.8751844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Magic40c73,500$29,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,64259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic43c63,899$27,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,681.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 76ers59c57,816$34,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,749.737869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed 76ers61c50,420$30,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,855.4236359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Magic40c50,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0008961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers60c33,568$20,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,431.861,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers59c30,965$18,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,705.822,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers62c23,348$14,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,923.671,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Magic41c22,996$9,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,428.364734%16 W · 31 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers59c20,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.9531445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers65c19,022$12,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,571.675,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed 76ers59c18,874$11,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.272,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed 76ers61c18,077$11,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers58c17,500$10,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,273.741,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Magic44c17,465$7,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,638.9127865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Magic41c17,325$7,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,103.245156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed 76ers54c17,002$9,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,850.711,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed 76ers52c15,724$8,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,540.4838046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Magic1c15,310$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed 76ers58c13,720$7,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,762.3850653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed 76ers59c12,873$7,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,277.9325546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers56c12,071$6,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.576,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed 76ers58c12,000$6,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.9935235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed Magic0c11,784$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Magic43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed 76ers60c10,336$6,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,134.334862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Magic42c10,000$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Magic41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9315740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed 76ers56c9,757$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.0216657.2%95 W · 71 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic40c9,347$3,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,743.8872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic40c9,167$3,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,697.422,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked 76ers56c9,153$5,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,045.810746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic40c9,006$3,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,641.4261835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed 76ers61c8,779$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.462,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers54c8,380$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,891.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers56c8,201$4,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,637.9666250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed 76ers50c8,059$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.9325925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Magic39c7,944$3,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,098.056454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Magic43c7,700$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3371,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers57c7,042$4,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed 76ers56c7,000$3,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,06021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Magic45c7,000$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,13017861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic36c6,549$2,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Magic29c6,203$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.236943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed 76ers56c5,801$3,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.4413148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic43c5,800$2,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,493.9714945.6%68 W · 81 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Magic41c5,555$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.5524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Magic49c5,264$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590.1785344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Magic48c5,198$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers45c5,057$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Magic29c5,006$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.831668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed 76ers56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2009758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Magic44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20010035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Magic0c4,860$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.868820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic1c4,795$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.187211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed 76ers67c4,789$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.0719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Magic40c4,619$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Magic41c4,500$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed 76ers58c4,484$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.4824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers57c4,397$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.4176746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers59c4,100$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.871,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Magic2c3,979$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.821,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic40c3,936$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.774,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…f161backed 76ers59c3,742$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,534.11862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked 76ers56c3,620$2,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.2230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers61c3,477$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.371,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 76ers57c3,311$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.942,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed 76ers59c3,271$1,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.0536748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Magic42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Magic28c2,982$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.971,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Magic41c2,829$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.8646632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f7…5b3ebacked Magic43c2,793$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.189038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Magic33c2,762$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.0561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Magic6c2,681$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8647535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fda…f190backed 76ers57c2,607$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.673762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Magic41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02538649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Magic49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9912143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Magic41c2,457$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.3333735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Magic41c2,440$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.410541%43 W · 62 L-11.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed 76ers44c2,222$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.3239744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed 76ers55c2,221$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.4247856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Magic50c2,192$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.565,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic40c2,178$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.2589050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic41c2,075$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.083,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200c…58eabacked 76ers59c2,070$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.732860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Magic40c2,045$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5126247.7%125 W · 137 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Magic43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86020048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed 76ers60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8005050%25 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed 76ers56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Magic44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed 76ers54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92011149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers53c2,000$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.9995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Magic39c2,000$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6578445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.