TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,970 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Over32c17,973$5,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,722.991,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c8,708$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.522,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c2,176$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6404146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over30c1,186$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.667929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under68c1,108$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2821056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c1,015$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.914,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under70c928.57$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5730050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under67c837.49$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.378531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over32c762.5$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.952128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0989…5247backed Over32c698.75$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over33c455.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under68c420$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.437557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under69c420$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.219357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over32c335.54$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.361,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Under69c301.64$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.516636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9612951.2%66 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…75d7backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under68c288$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1615952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under68c275.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1151847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under71c229.75$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.641,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over10c215.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.581,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Over32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under68c179.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.636259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Over32c175.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.39929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503619.4%7 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4836758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over32c143.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under68c143.75$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over32c132.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3435328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under69c127$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.373953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under68c120$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.32259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under68c98.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4620150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under68c94.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Over18c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-63.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under69c80.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6118139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under69c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.493450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over15c77.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over32c73.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under68c71.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8928359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424450%22 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Under69c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.716863.1%106 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.426959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.429751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb960…1eacbacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6b…6d9dbacked Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014636.3%53 W · 93 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.222958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.231359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Under70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.144953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Under70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under68c51.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3642048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22af…becebacked Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b3…f062backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9087…d582backed Over32c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.58812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick48cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under70c47.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3727748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Over31c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.573256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Under71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Under69c39.86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.363447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under69c38.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.92846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.72462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under69c28.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.813043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…7b54backed Under70c25.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4616634.9%58 W · 108 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under71c22.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.485164.7%33 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a4e…b38cbacked Under69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.741747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.419834.8%69 W · 129 L-17.3wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2935…eed8backed Under71c19.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under67c18.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1258445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Under70c18.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.558444%37 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8512…e70ebacked Under71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Under69c15.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.76953.6%37 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3009…d675backed Under69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.65250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.