Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca78b2621963e7a5fb5251eb079bbca0001d5281484e482ee9ba6fcea6c03f5f

Rebuilt 52 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $126,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $130,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,855 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	61,854$34,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,497.01	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over	14c	22,700$3,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,096.96	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over	36c	12,540$4,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,569.88	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f17…f0b7backed Over	58c	8,120$4,728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,728.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-47%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over	47c	6,522$3,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,049.74	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-5.0wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over	78c	4,427$3,446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,445.81	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	4,116$2,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,053.72	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over	78c	3,313$2,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,583.85	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	72cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe952…bde4backed Over	60c	3,200$1,916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,916	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Over	78c	3,191$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	22c	3,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,339.91	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under	49c	2,455$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.17	22	81.8%18 W · 4 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	55cpaid	+55%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over	66c	2,300$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0989…5247backed Over	77c	1,610$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	22c	1,500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,169.94	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5128…13d9backed Over	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.0wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Over	78c	1,204$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.44	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.36per pick	61cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Under	21c	1,134$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.91	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under	54c	1,129$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.95	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over	49c	1,122$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over	15c	1,111$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.75	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Over	78c	1,026$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	69	42%29 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over	45c	999.43$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.74	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over	40c	990.24$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	138	37%51 W · 87 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d12…bef1backed Over	78c	884.54$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.94	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	864.46$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.53	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over	56c	861.92$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	90	67.8%61 W · 29 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	62c	802.73$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Under	61c	799.96$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.98	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under	53c	709.96$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.63	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289d…cf92backed Over	78c	642.31$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	72c	555.56$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over	78c	533.85$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.4	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over	56c	530.1$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.76	412	60.2%248 W · 164 L	+22.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under	23c	412.26$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$317.44	294	27.9%82 W · 212 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over	77c	401.86$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.43	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Over	48c	400$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.4	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under	22c	400$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	78c	384.62$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	25c	377.16$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.53	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Under	40c	373.33$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.03	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked Under	62c	369.61$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.92	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+47%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	77c	350.37$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.07	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over	65c	339.99$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Over	77c	299.99$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.99	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over	76c	299.94$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.96	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe31c…642bbacked Over	77c	289.74$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-2.1wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de5…e8f5backed Over	78c	281.49$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.56	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	70cpaid	-10%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd700…7310backed Over	77c	260$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	77cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89db…2af9backed Over	77c	259.74$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.77per pick	77cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…ebbbbacked Over	78c	256.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.28per pick	57cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Over	78c	256.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over	77c	255.62$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.83	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under	23c	253.59$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.26	134	47%63 W · 71 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over	59c	247.45$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.95	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-6.9wins	-0.11per pick	57cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	49c	206.12$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	51c	204$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.94	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Over	75c	200$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	22c	200$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over	78c	200$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Over	77c	199.23$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.41	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Under	23c	197.43$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under	23c	183.72$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.46	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	22c	183$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.74	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb055…1b0bbacked Over	78c	179.49$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked Over	78c	174.87$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.4	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	-3.0wins	-0.19per pick	75cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	9c	167.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	60c	166.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34da…ac26backed Over	36c	161.61$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.76	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd283…51ecbacked Under	24c	159.54$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.25	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over	78c	143.17$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.67	88	67%59 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	51c	137.67$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.36	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-9.7wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3f9b…555cbacked Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	63cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f8e…1267backed Over	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Over	79c	126.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over	78c	125.76$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.09	112	65.2%73 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	46c	125.15$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.94	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71d…3f27backed Over	47c	122.98$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.8	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-6.3wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	53c	121.12$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Over	77c	120$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Over	77c	111$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.47	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	47c	110.64$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	134	39.6%53 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under	20c	104.09$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.34	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over	46c	104$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.75	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	64cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Under	23c	103.52$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.71	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+82.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	24c	100.72$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.25	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Over	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	201	44.3%89 W · 112 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over	77c	99.99$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.99	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	25c	99.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	72c	98.52$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.55	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8636…d3c7backed Over	77c	93.84$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.26	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	76cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	40c	90.78$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.21	290	41.7%121 W · 169 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc581…ade5backed Over	78c	89.74$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…e7eebacked Over	78c	87.01$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.87	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-5.7wins	-0.44per pick	59cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over	42c	85.39$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.57	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5this page
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event