TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e9e…ee7e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Brazil vs. Haiti: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$26.19
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Algeria vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.43
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.4%+$71.82
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$999
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Paris FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to Advancebacked Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.