Europa Conference League · resolved market
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3266a7cb163f2008ffa04b68c5f06cdd612ac2a3d39a26796f57d4fdf30d8c6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 11,780$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,110.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…e300backed Over | 77c | 10,511$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,093.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 23c | 6,501$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.12 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 4,359$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.39 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 2,350$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 2c | 2,153$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.63 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 1,531$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.08 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 79c | 1,519$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.01 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 73c | 1,088$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 21c | 800$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over | 77c | 650$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 21c | 596.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.26 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 556.6$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 77c | 519.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 66c | 517.32$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 73c | 408.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 23c | 280$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 77c | 262$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 24c | 236.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.68 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…f953backed Over | 80c | 200.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 23c | 199.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 23c | 170$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 66c | 156.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 70c | 137.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 24c | 123.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 119.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Over | 79c | 111$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 46c | 108.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…e7eebacked Over | 80c | 100.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 18c | 98.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 52c | 93.41$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 50c | 89.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 72cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 77c | 62.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Under | 34c | 57.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 22c | 48.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Over | 80c | 27.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 76c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5this page
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)BSC Young Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.