TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c17,875$7,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,930.6684850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.988245.1%37 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over55c4,986$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,727.222161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c4,937$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.983,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under44c4,205$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6807143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over56c2,501$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.795545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under44c2,456$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.8833847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over56c2,144$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.642781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c1,942$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8835158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf46e…d15ebacked Under48c1,333$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over55c1,045$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706923.2%16 W · 53 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5808124.7%20 W · 61 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5408345.8%38 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under51c757.41$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.3242844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under44c647.73$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.731060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53c…eb0cbacked Over57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over57c599.99$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.995738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over54c537$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2754047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over53c459.02$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.345242.3%22 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.212948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over56c420$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.214252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23233349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c371.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.732,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.763855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under44c348.59$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.89037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over56c330$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.88046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16813650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c277.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.224841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad3…a392backed Under47c268.09$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.09580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under44c251$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.5613920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe220…f862backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over56c170$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under43c150.31$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.318062.5%50 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847540%30 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over48c144.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707628.9%22 W · 54 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c122.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.370239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28052.5%42 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over43c109.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.114822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over56c101.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.644551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over29c101$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.297636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503876.3%29 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over48c87.5$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.87848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c78.52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.418049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c78.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8926647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over39c67.9$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010963.3%69 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.67951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Under46c58.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.55547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd816…84b9backed Over49c48.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under44c44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256929%20 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over57c42.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Over56c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.842339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206929%20 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c36.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4721243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over57c35.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05f…2465backed Under44c31.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.882055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Under45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Under44c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d91…adb6backed Over51c22.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Over51c22.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under60c20.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0438453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd861…931abacked Over57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.