Europa Conference League · resolved market
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8690c1e621108adfce547714a20586c2408dbdbff60f64d1c21e395cee8d008
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 54c | 2,693$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,874$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.91 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,692$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.3 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 531.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 45c | 432.56$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed No | 46c | 431.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 318.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.25 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 43c | 242.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 55c | 229.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 55c | 228.32$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 53c | 150.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 68c | 112.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 31c | 102.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…df45backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 55c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 70.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…d3c7backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 52c | 52.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 33c | 47.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 56c | 45.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 56c | 45.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 34c | 43.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Yes | 55c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked No | 46c | 40.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -9.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Yes | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 44c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed No | 48c | 21.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)BSC Young Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.