Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x658f4bcb98ed621287c15abf6c77383633cb1d725b9346e35854dcee388396e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BSC Young Boysof Olympique Lyonnais, BSC Young Boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed BSC Young Boys | 69c | 4,765$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.9 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 1,000$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed BSC Young Boys | 69c | 727$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 599.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 202.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Olympique Lyonnais | 35c | 186.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 184$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 44c | 164$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked BSC Young Boys | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 33.3%49 W · 98 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 30c | 121$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 115.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique Lyonnais | 29c | 94.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Olympique Lyonnais | 32c | 93.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed BSC Young Boys | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 85.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Olympique Lyonnais | 31c | 62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…e18bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked BSC Young Boys | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…fca2backed Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 27c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed BSC Young Boys | 68c | 37.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed BSC Young Boys | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ac…bd9fbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed BSC Young Boys | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked BSC Young Boys | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked BSC Young Boys | 69c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.