TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a8f…386c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$62.28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$20.34
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.7%+$55.37
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$29.01
LoL: Dark Passage vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+45.5%+$45.48
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$77
LoL: DMG Esports vs Lundqvist Lightside (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+36.5%+$36.49
LoL: A One Man Army Esports Prime vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.5%+$44.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$16.44
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$71.15
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+56.9%+$56.92
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79.02
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs REKONIX (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakutou Brothers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+43.7%+$21.83
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Dota 2: Valinor vs NoLogoJustMMR (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked NoLogoJustMMR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsbacked strongboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+67%+$67
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Dota 2: yache123 vs Veroja (BO5)backed yache123 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$101
Dota 2: Veroja vs Ivory (BO3)backed Ivory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)backed VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+40.1%+$84.94
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.27
Dota 2: Veroja vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)backed Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$54
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Spread: Hornets (-9.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$198.8
Raptors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30.1%+$17.18
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$255.56
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Pacers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$13.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick67cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.45
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24.32
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+38.9%+$34.61
Derby County FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$20.33
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$173.54
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$50.59
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.3%+$56.42
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$139
Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$36.62
Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+29.9%+$17.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.11
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$221.69
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.6%+$71.34
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Favbet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick65cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+49.1%+$22.59
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51.83
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$212.14
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gaziantep FK vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.5%+$142.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.3%+$56.68
BSC Young Boys vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$212.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.