Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa226f60defb0cf4b838225f4efdf5aab1f526a3bae9d53db5be529a48b3fe638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof JD Gaming, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Weibo Gaming | 67c | 588.32$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JD Gaming | 33c | 517.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 480.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed JD Gaming | 32c | 385.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 349.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed JD Gaming | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Weibo Gaming | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked JD Gaming | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Weibo Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 122$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed JD Gaming | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…20ebbacked Weibo Gaming | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 30c | 85.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Weibo Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Weibo Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Weibo Gaming | 65c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed JD Gaming | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Weibo Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Weibo Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Weibo Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Weibo Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Weibo Gaming | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Weibo Gaming | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Weibo Gaming | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Weibo Gaming | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…c235backed Weibo Gaming | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerWeibo Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.