TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$134,708
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,708 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c80,239$64,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,224.932,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c54,813$7,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,420.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over46c15,769$7,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,269.357938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Over62c11,302$7,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,007.413141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under52c6,254$3,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.554566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under54c4,910$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.2934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over31c3,244$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c2,919$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c2,115$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.3493252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Under39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.992680.8%21 W · 5 L+7.9wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0x7318…cc3cbacked Over61c1,737$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9936630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over25c1,400$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…770ebacked Under40c1,243$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over18c1,082$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over35c847.08$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.974835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Over36c814.1$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over14c812.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.763129%9 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-45.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over12c810$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Over27c682$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Over56c669.53$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over51c557.24$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.191266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c549.04$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9615459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over62c500$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882e…54cebacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010361.2%63 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over60c456.19$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.719350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c446$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0616046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Under73c411.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.961656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over31c406.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4911144.1%49 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Over25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.584070%28 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over33c359$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6918858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over32c329.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8411856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over35c316.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11238739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over37c306.17$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.862454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837254.2%39 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over64c298.65$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1431441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under38c278$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3637250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over30c267$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8015238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over62c224.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1392254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under38c216.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Under54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.071346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over62c203.22$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1264134.1%14 W · 27 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over34c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.564070%28 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over60c188.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.273650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee54…5665backed Under70c183.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.012450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…d438backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over30c173.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.115655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over30c169.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503655.6%20 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8993…222dbacked Over31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under64c157.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.32045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Over26c155.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.034032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under72c155.67$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4824849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under61c152.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under56c131.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9652748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over51c130.27$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.441250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under72c125.75$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1636852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under61c125.66$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3911529.6%34 W · 81 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over29c121.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.525752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over25c120.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.59754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c119.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6815648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over26c118.41$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.544652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over34c117.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over61c114.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015253.9%82 W · 70 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1312422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over61c96.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1512049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2f…6512backed Over59c93.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over31c88.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.515131.4%16 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8f…386cbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Over18c80.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.33030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over16c77.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.965215.4%8 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over22c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick34cpaid+184.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under38c71.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.167847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Under77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215450%27 W · 27 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Under36c68.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.46048.3%29 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over31c64.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc92c…62ffbacked Over62c64.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over28c55.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4214748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over39c54.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.