Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0adea854c140755b15f4a7607c129dcb0da1d002807c80b8f0020e422e36c881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 19,564$15,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.07 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 16c | 14,600$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 44c | 7,881$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,737$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.9 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked No | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 58c | 1,295$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 34c | 1,290$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.76 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 56c | 1,234$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.82 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,153$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 57c | 1,125$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.45 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +7.9wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 1,120$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.77 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 39c | 515.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 44c | 352.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Yes | 7c | 285.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 58c | 195.29$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 31c | 194.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 187.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 44c | 148.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 35c | 147.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf2…26d7backed Yes | 29c | 104.64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 61c | 83.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 41c | 79.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 66.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 38c | 66.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb793…15d0backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…5348backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 42c | 47.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked No | 58c | 46.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 58c | 46.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed No | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 36c | 39.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 33c | 36.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked No | 57c | 28.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 71c | 27.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed No | 69c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.