Serie A · resolved market
Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ed79fe0a5157fa10de9fd723df91f8762d2017c83bd52d9bbe5667b3cd88ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 17,349$11,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,565.99 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 34c | 16,266$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,530.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 66c | 3,585$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 67c | 1,300$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 21c | 942.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 28c | 870$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.27 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 68c | 756.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 34c | 680.53$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.38 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 68c | 534.23$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Over | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 34c | 416.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 66c | 336.39$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c3…dedebacked Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 34c | 272.53$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 20c | 268.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 30c | 219.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 22c | 214.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 67c | 191.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 6c | 183.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 66c | 179$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 34c | 148$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 70c | 118.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 66c | 117.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 67c | 102.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 62c | 76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 33c | 75.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 28c | 65.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 67c | 64.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 30c | 56.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 33c | 55.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…73abbacked Over | 28c | 55.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 33c | 54.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Under | 68c | 51.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 66c | 38.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 67c | 31.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 68c | 27.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…d379backed Under | 67c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 67c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…4045backed Under | 67c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 67c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5this page
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.