Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Veroja vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e7f69009f2e03dc0b73bdb0add1d4698247a725656259861ac3a2d410c8ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Verojaof Veroja, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x881f…c70dbacked Veroja | 76c | 1,069$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Yangon Galacticos | 19c | 941.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 776.83$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.73 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Veroja | 65c | 510.48$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yangon Galacticos | 47c | 501.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Veroja | 53c | 469.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yangon Galacticos | 32c | 312.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Yangon Galacticos | 22c | 277.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 271.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 25c | 221$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yangon Galacticos | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Veroja | 41c | 205$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yangon Galacticos | 20c | 203.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…92b3backed Yangon Galacticos | 25c | 203.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Veroja | 50c | 201.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…230ebacked Yangon Galacticos | 43c | 157.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Veroja | 54c | 156.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…b9c8backed Yangon Galacticos | 9c | 143.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6906…67ecbacked Yangon Galacticos | 18c | 139.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…7124backed Veroja | 68c | 132.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed Yangon Galacticos | 53c | 131.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Veroja | 38c | 107.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.63 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yangon Galacticos | 48c | 102.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed Veroja | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Veroja | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 56c | 95.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 68c | 87.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yangon Galacticos | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yangon Galacticos | 20c | 69.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Veroja | 40c | 64.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…919bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…4a98backed Yangon Galacticos | 65c | 45.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Veroja | 66c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Veroja | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Veroja vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Veroja vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Veroja vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerVeroja won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.