La Liga · resolved market
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc8ded4d363fdffce8a752aa7ffab1c4d482267f1a618315982213871f7d84a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 4,624$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Under | 53c | 3,941$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 3,293$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.01 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…2b3fbacked Over | 45c | 3,286$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa971…261dbacked Under | 55c | 3,280$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 47c | 3,178$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 47c | 3,014$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.6 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 46c | 2,333$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.8 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Under | 55c | 2,009$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 45c | 1,844$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 1,579$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.1 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 1,484$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.9 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 54c | 1,481$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 35c | 1,152$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Over | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 47c | 999.38$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…8685backed Over | 45c | 950$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 897.99$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.07 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 37c | 809.3$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.35 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Under | 55c | 550$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 44c | 418.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Over | 47c | 406.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…01c8backed Under | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 73c | 335.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.12 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 328.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…5c65backed Under | 55c | 320$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 47c | 289.17$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe120…5637backed Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 46c | 272.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 43c | 268.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 74c | 261$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 19c | 259.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 56c | 253.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 204.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 47c | 197.77$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 53c | 180$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 54c | 171$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 202 | 50.5%102 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 53c | 170$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…0ea7backed Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 210 | 51.9%109 W · 101 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 53c | 149.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…c17dbacked Under | 62c | 141.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 74c | 134.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Over | 46c | 126.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 121.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 53c | 119.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 108.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 47c | 106.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…1db9backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e3…395cbacked Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 47c | 96.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Under | 55c | 88.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Over | 46c | 87.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 55c | 83.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Over | 19c | 81.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Over | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 47c | 77.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 61c | 77.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.