Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84227bf2081478fa0083ac5a29a457fb7a0ea9de01ad76f5cebc784bd976af83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 899.97$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.98 | 105 | 41.9%44 W · 61 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 814.4$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.07 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…da0ebacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 794.6$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 720.47$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.75 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Weibo Gaming | 53c | 626$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Weibo Gaming | 65c | 307.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 220.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 210$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 134.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bilibili Gaming | 36c | 127.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Weibo Gaming | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked Weibo Gaming | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11bb…ee8bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Weibo Gaming | 61c | 89.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 77.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 72.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20d…b58bbacked Weibo Gaming | 61c | 48.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 67.9%76 W · 36 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 35.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe339…c8f3backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 34.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc150…e85fbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 30.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…762fbacked Weibo Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…a356backed Weibo Gaming | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.