Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9e0026115575b30e4fcd63c941f09a630119804e994c5df1a1828f46ed91b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 46c | 6,082$2,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,796.53 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 54c | 6,007$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.88 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 51c | 999.97$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked Over | 49c | 922.32$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.94 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Over | 50c | 364.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Under | 55c | 363.44$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.65 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 323.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.27 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 72c | 298$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Under | 62c | 255.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 46c | 224$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked Over | 46c | 180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Over | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Over | 48c | 144.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…95c5backed Over | 70c | 143.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 42cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under | 53c | 140.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 318 | 49.7%158 W · 160 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…042cbacked Over | 47c | 116.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 49c | 104.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 54c | 79.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 34c | 73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 54c | 56.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Over | 53c | 56.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Over | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…f3eabacked Under | 56c | 51.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Over | 49c | 50.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 362 | 44.2%160 W · 202 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 52c | 41.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c1…b590backed Over | 48c | 38.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 47c | 33.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 364 | 67.3%245 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Over | 65c | 30.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…439cbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Under | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…1e1abacked Over | 58c | 22.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…4dcebacked Over | 48c | 21.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.