TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe99a…e9fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST3231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,199.88
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$840
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$244.99
LoL: Ultra Prime vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+170.3%+$818.98
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,039.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,056
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+150%+$600
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,483.97
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$246
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,380
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$180
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$624.23
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$615
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+150%+$242.04
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$396.47
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,040Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+157.4%+$3,209.94
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$246.85
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$1,068.1
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$98.33
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$195
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$210
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+233.3%+$490
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.28
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.3
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$1,163.39
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$3,919.72
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.7%+$227.19
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+44.7%+$1,890.52
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+169.6%+$508.88
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+71%+$2,261.28
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,131.38
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+51.1%+$1,590.5
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,779.99
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,252.85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,829Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,829.33
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200.68
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,527Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+74.7%+$7,116.56
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,027Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+101.9%+$7,163.51
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,695Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$626.9
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+104.6%+$1,044.76
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+96.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bears: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+134.7%+$673.26
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$274.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,233.82
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+67.1%+$364.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.