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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof Team WE, Ultra Prime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,337 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x310f…4e42backed Team WE54c20,280$10,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,364.864075%30 W · 10 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Ultra Prime46c19,964$9,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,088.731,64240.2%660 W · 982 L+48.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Ultra Prime46c6,060$2,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.431036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Ultra Prime3c5,100$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15619041.1%78 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team WE53c4,397$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.7585046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa840…f2e7backed Team WE67c4,203$2,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Ultra Prime45c4,100$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8381,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacf…44adbacked Ultra Prime32c3,900$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.997544%33 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Team WE67c2,796$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.493740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Ultra Prime1c2,764$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.64258%2 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team WE62c1,779$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8540332.8%132 W · 271 L-21.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Ultra Prime47c1,724$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.7121060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Ultra Prime4c1,612$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.482,38532.1%765 W · 1,620 L+44.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Team WE67c1,600$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.995939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Ultra Prime34c1,589$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.731,07628.4%306 W · 770 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Ultra Prime48c1,503$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team WE56c1,348$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.081,61842.3%685 W · 933 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Ultra Prime24c1,232$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.624529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Ultra Prime44c1,200$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Ultra Prime7c1,200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE62c1,022$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.231,61353.8%868 W · 745 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team WE70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30077753.3%414 W · 363 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Ultra Prime2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Ultra Prime5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Ultra Prime45c942.09$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.0222654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Ultra Prime47c912.94$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7121840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Ultra Prime32c815.52$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26524750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Ultra Prime34c800$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741,83239.2%718 W · 1,114 L-30.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ultra Prime33c780.62$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.722,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Ultra Prime30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Ultra Prime33c689.55$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.5570853%375 W · 333 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Ultra Prime6c612.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.48205%1 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd3…fefabacked Ultra Prime34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007460.8%45 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE55c567.25$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4396541.7%402 W · 563 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Ultra Prime23c559.19$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Ultra Prime5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2546033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x558a…02d9backed Ultra Prime2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Ultra Prime6c499.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012444.4%55 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Ultra Prime31c450$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.6354129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime29c441.83$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.133,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Ultra Prime49c409.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Ultra Prime5c400$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Ultra Prime9c400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34267.7%2 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Team WE58c399.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16650547.7%241 W · 264 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Ultra Prime47c399.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19021848.6%106 W · 112 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaf…064fbacked Ultra Prime10c399.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed Team WE60c394.93$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9713546.7%63 W · 72 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Team WE57c390$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.710443.3%45 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Ultra Prime33c380$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.436050.6%182 W · 178 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Ultra Prime34c368.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.366149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Ultra Prime33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Ultra Prime33c363.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12011354%61 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Ultra Prime6c342.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Ultra Prime4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Team WE62c299.99$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11416639.2%65 W · 101 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1da7…2e56backed Ultra Prime32c279$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.287663.2%48 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team WE75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6775942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Ultra Prime5c257.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.886732.8%22 W · 45 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Ultra Prime46c228.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.281145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Ultra Prime41c204.71$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.585152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Team WE68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Ultra Prime6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1128837.5%108 W · 180 L-16.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Ultra Prime5c198.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022747.6%108 W · 119 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Ultra Prime32c191.21$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.723742.2%100 W · 137 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Ultra Prime53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Ultra Prime34c186.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.525560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dd…ea96backed Ultra Prime39c179.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.942157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Ultra Prime36c165.13$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6085050.1%426 W · 424 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf6…3c88backed Ultra Prime39c155.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Ultra Prime33c151.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Team WE66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE68c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.751,23748.1%595 W · 642 L+25.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Ultra Prime36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417762.1%110 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Ultra Prime50c149.56$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Team WE69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9339451%201 W · 193 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x406c…bdc6backed Ultra Prime15c134$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-63.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc263…9325backed Team WE75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick73cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Ultra Prime38c127.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Ultra Prime33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4c29backed Team WE75c116.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.239268.5%63 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team WE68c107.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3313543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team WE51c105$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4515433.1%51 W · 103 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed5…339ebacked Ultra Prime34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…0723backed Team WE68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Ultra Prime43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4311637.1%43 W · 73 L-13.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Ultra Prime31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3131635.4%112 W · 204 L+14.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Ultra Prime15c97.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.414027%28 W · 374 L-125.3wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.5%equal weight17-0.29 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Ultra Prime42c96.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Ultra Prime31c82.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6112450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd39c…fc6abacked Ultra Prime45c82.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.689753.6%52 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Ultra Prime33c80.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.624355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Ultra Prime52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4099463.8%634 W · 360 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Ultra Prime50c70.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510359.2%61 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Ultra Prime33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.022157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97b1…2146backed Ultra Prime19c69.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135422.2%12 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Ultra Prime31c65.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4394134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Team WE57c64.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.632853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Ultra Prime31c57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6189810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team WE68c54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.282,26137.3%843 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Ultra Prime38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080256.5%453 W · 349 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.