TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ultra Primeof Team WE, Ultra Prime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x310f…4e42backed Ultra Prime69c30,459$21,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,425.714075%30 W · 10 L+9.0wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+36.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team WE41c13,649$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.0385046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Team WE23c4,695$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.813740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Team WE70c3,877$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,713.5857947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Ultra Prime30c3,750$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.994250%21 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team WE24c3,711$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.121,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Team WE1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30258%2 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Team WE30c2,990$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.9331036.1%112 W · 198 L-18.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE24c2,381$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5695541.7%398 W · 557 L-31.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team WE10c2,016$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0367552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team WE19c1,919$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.762,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team WE72c1,810$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.1240232.8%132 W · 270 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE72c1,800$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.981,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Ultra Prime26c1,665$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.461,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ultra Prime28c1,576$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.583,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Ultra Prime31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03524529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team WE70c1,365$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.251852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team WE74c1,145$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.6643151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Ultra Prime28c1,126$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.4440970.2%287 W · 122 L+30.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Ultra Prime73c1,068$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9750770%355 W · 152 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…b52dbacked Team WE10c1,045$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team WE74c1,039$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.5381443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Team WE68c1,007$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.7620252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked Team WE30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005939%23 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Team WE22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011354%61 W · 52 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Ultra Prime80c833.36$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7794134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked Team WE61c818.03$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team WE18c716.74$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12924750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Ultra Prime28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.291662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Ultra Prime28c701.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9550845.3%230 W · 278 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99a…e9fbbacked Ultra Prime30c699.99$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4903231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team WE70c684.78$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8576953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Ultra Prime57c648.29$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.4125560.8%155 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Team WE7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42205%1 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Ultra Prime31c500$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.141,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Team WE11c499.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a33…28e8backed Team WE11c485.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.824746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Team WE69c433.21$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.327451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed Ultra Prime28c428.57$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5735035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328f…5b72backed Team WE33c411.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.942128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Ultra Prime49c408.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2915846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558a…02d9backed Team WE12c399.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-63.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed Ultra Prime28c370$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.436050.6%182 W · 178 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team WE19c341.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8241752.5%219 W · 198 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Team WE8c339.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9723915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0d7…7790backed Ultra Prime64c334.62$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.466656.1%37 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Team WE75c323.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6221060%126 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Ultra Prime72c305$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3667276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Team WE70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21015352.9%81 W · 72 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Team WE72c294.16$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.82236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked Team WE74c271.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021637.5%6 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick63cpaid-43.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Ultra Prime26c267.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.3178549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Ultra Prime56c249.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9917462.1%108 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Team WE14c218.38$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9122654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Team WE9c209.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.293026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team WE74c209.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0210450%52 W · 52 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Team WE5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106334.9%22 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Team WE15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Team WE6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee7…1e5bbacked Ultra Prime28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14429536.9%109 W · 186 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Team WE18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Team WE24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4868049%333 W · 347 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Team WE8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16267.7%2 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Team WE11c189.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029335.2%103 W · 190 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Team WE22c189.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1213543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Team WE11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Ultra Prime28c178.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5621840.4%88 W · 130 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Team WE6c167.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.128942.6%123 W · 166 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Ultra Prime30c167$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.930243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Team WE70c157$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.96149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Team WE19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba48…907cbacked Team WE18c149.59$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4798663.6%627 W · 359 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…9cb3backed Team WE11c145$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.957837.2%29 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Team WE29c136.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Team WE16c126.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.433987%28 W · 370 L-123.7wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.3%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Ultra Prime32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8515862.7%99 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Team WE70c123.19$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.231145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team WE33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3516851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Ultra Prime25c101.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.14355.8%24 W · 19 L+6.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+40.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x88bd…f1bebacked Ultra Prime80c100.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Ultra Prime23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7718342.6%78 W · 105 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe398…0723backed Team WE68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Team WE68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818046.7%84 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1965…2c2dbacked Team WE15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524328.8%70 W · 173 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Team WE33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.376129%221 W · 540 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Ultra Prime64c77.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.95152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd020…6394backed Team WE18c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.730%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Ultra Prime28c68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9625540.4%103 W · 152 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team WE68c66.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.262,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Team WE33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034631.2%108 W · 238 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Ultra Prime67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.870752.9%374 W · 333 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Team WE60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.81,14463.3%724 W · 420 L+53.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Team WE34c58.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2079356.2%446 W · 347 L-2.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team WE70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bb3…12c6backed Ultra Prime80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108659.3%51 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Ultra Prime79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.524655.7%137 W · 109 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Ultra Prime67c49.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3575942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59eb…fa33backed Team WE22c48.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcae1…7dddbacked Ultra Prime28c39.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8910966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed5…339ebacked Ultra Prime39c38.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.467164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.