TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9de…5fb1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT258%2 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$396.78
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$356
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$156.29
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$381.47
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,544Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+160.8%+$10,525.8
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 4 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$760.46
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,680.03
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$62.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+1,466.6%+$5,524.63
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$332.44
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102.2
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120.88
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$183.32
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$114.36
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)backed ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$140.49
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ZSM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$44.25
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$497.99
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27.64
LoL: Team WE vs Ultra Prime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 25 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO3)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+1,332%+$2,928.02
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$243.36
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro (BO3)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$87.47
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$109.3
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$152.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+382.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+865.8%+$1,692.48
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+865.8%+$1,692.5
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$340.93
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$251.03
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Maple Leafs vs. Capitalsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60.25
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$141.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Paper Rex (BO1)backed Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.