Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf9258148c958a963102f90924dbbaf01cc76a9ff6af49a44615e1510309e01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ZSM, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed ZSM | 2c | 13,085$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ZSM | 18c | 8,348$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.5 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked ZSM | 19c | 6,437$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.66 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed ZSM | 4c | 3,276$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed ZSM | 15c | 2,110$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 409 | 70.2%287 W · 122 L | +30.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed ZSM | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZSM | 15c | 1,518$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.65 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ZSM | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 1,403$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.6 | 429 | 40.1%172 W · 257 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ZSM | 17c | 1,253$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed ZSM | 18c | 1,066$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd10e…8404backed ZSM | 5c | 1,040$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked ZSM | 17c | 1,017$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 257 | 33.1%85 W · 172 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ZSM | 20c | 1,006$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…4c18backed ZSM | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ZSM | 6c | 860.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 680 | 49%333 W · 347 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…e2f2backed ZSM | 14c | 856$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed ZSM | 7c | 853.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 1,184 | 44.4%526 W · 658 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed ZSM | 9c | 850.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ZSM | 19c | 809.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked ZSM | 20c | 787.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed ZSM | 20c | 700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…c66cbacked ZSM | 16c | 617.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…c8dabacked ZSM | 15c | 528$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ZSM | 14c | 498.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…efd0backed ZSM | 15c | 453$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…93d6backed ZSM | 16c | 441$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…bdcdbacked ZSM | 15c | 440$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +110%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed ZSM | 4c | 421.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 387 | 34.1%132 W · 255 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…6f8fbacked ZSM | 15c | 420$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ZSM | 6c | 417.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…5c4fbacked ZSM | 15c | 410$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…3ef9backed ZSM | 18c | 342.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…9bf2backed ZSM | 15c | 338$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed ZSM | 14c | 337.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 385 | 34.8%134 W · 251 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed ZSM | 10c | 336.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…cdbdbacked ZSM | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…2a56backed ZSM | 15c | 321$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 313.7$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed ZSM | 14c | 299.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed ZSM | 20c | 260.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…5075backed ZSM | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked ZSM | 5c | 225.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 398 | 7%28 W · 370 L | -123.7wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab3…5fa4backed ZSM | 19c | 208.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…2b59backed ZSM | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked ZSM | 22c | 169.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87f…51b3backed ZSM | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…a20ebacked ZSM | 14c | 140.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed ZSM | 17c | 120.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ZSM | 17c | 108.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fd…6b4dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 101.93$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…417cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed ZSM | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…9d09backed ZSM | 16c | 83.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc687…e856backed ZSM | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked ZSM | 18c | 77.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…339ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…032dbacked ZSM | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a14…045cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 262 | 34.4%90 W · 172 L | -21.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ZSM | 28c | 41.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d9…3261backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 32.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…57abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…790bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 73cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…2ed0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 25.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 635 | 47.9%304 W · 331 L | -16.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd921…440cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.