Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5627f67e7400a153fee740225e166ab5d09c40eec868361a097f776b2276a16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ZSM, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe795…8caebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 10,747$8,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,482 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked ZSM | 23c | 7,046$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.49 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed ZSM | 23c | 6,339$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.37 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 71c | 4,923$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.68 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed ZSM | 29c | 3,187$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.24 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 2,978$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.68 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed ZSM | 4c | 2,681$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed ZSM | 1c | 2,658$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 2,019$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed ZSM | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 1,900$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ZSM | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed ZSM | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 1,013$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.29 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed ZSM | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.42 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…7730backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 949.7$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed ZSM | 17c | 859.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 302 | 43%130 W · 172 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed ZSM | 16c | 838.38$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 730$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ZSM | 33c | 700$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 543.99$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 675 | 49%331 W · 344 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…12c6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ZSM | 18c | 450.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ZSM | 40c | 444$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked ZSM | 13c | 419.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 62c | 400$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked ZSM | 19c | 399.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZSM | 17c | 399.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…e022backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 80c | 376.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…339ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 367.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 333$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed ZSM | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…2716backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 249.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed ZSM | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed ZSM | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 183.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 171.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1965…2c2dbacked ZSM | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 243 | 28.8%70 W · 173 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked ZSM | 9c | 137.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked ZSM | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 100.02$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked ZSM | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed ZSM | 18c | 93.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ZSM | 20c | 74.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…3344backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 71c | 74.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 69.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed ZSM | 44c | 61.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 57.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1119…0f9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 50.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 42.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 41.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 32.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…57abbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.