Lol · resolved market
LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549698aa114e66464bca89798bf37c8475e93d12e982721ff8e6a1e8962f56d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ZSM, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed ZSM | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 6.3%8 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed ZSM | 2c | 3,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 2,132$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.26 | 811 | 43.5%353 W · 458 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed ZSM | 1c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked ZSM | 24c | 1,767$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.84 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ZSM | 25c | 1,033$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.66 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked ZSM | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310f…4e42backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 77c | 976.75$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +9.0wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed ZSM | 20c | 854.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked ZSM | 6c | 699.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed ZSM | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…e29fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 530.32$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed ZSM | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked ZSM | 25c | 393.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 75c | 393.33$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.33 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked ZSM | 31c | 327.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked ZSM | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ZSM | 22c | 299.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 285.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 707 | 52.9%374 W · 333 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed ZSM | 36c | 271.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 253.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 219 | 65.8%144 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 210$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc259…100fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 79c | 204.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb3…12c6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed ZSM | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ZSM | 21c | 190.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…272cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked ZSM | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed ZSM | 26c | 113.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 124 | 44.4%55 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked ZSM | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ZSM | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked ZSM | 30c | 98.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ZSM | 22c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 69c | 73.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096f…5c68backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 216 | 44%95 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…c9b7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 76c | 69.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…9fb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 62.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…339ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 67c | 59.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ZSM | 33c | 54.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed ZSM | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…a94bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 16.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ZSM vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.