TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof OG, Tundra Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,669

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,169 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports50c9,903$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,902.5953451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked OG35c9,051$3,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.7134146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed OG40c8,277$3,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,338.1914947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked OG42c7,873$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,268.022937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Tundra Esports78c7,568$5,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.0710048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG40c5,484$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.072,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports34c3,841$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,536.751,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed OG42c3,835$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,610.7313155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports56c3,572$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.6416149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed OG1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports58c2,931$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.051,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports72c2,773$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.7234468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed OG25c2,421$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed OG40c2,087$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.997549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports65c2,059$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.9212256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Tundra Esports59c1,777$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5717444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports62c1,612$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9813262.9%83 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked OG12c1,443$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.1621847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports58c1,124$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.0753652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed OG15c1,100$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1658648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports57c902.32$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38822647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed OG51c778.7$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.720361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Tundra Esports79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1478046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked OG25c700$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+58.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked OG10c700$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed OG43c677.27$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29226453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Tundra Esports50c630.24$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.182759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25831545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports41c562.89$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7889749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked OG27c557.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed OG55c507.95$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6912348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4965…176fbacked OG42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed OG42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports48c419.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.4964149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd3…0591backed Tundra Esports58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports58c310.34$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.3439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed Tundra Esports58c272.1$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.828557.6%49 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports79c270$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5619251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed OG43c254.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10917342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed Tundra Esports50c230.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.937642.1%32 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed OG12c213.75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.78627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed OG47c212.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed OG57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11412755.1%70 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed OG11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-70.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked OG11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9434154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG38c199$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1562650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked OG30c197.56$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG40c185.94$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed OG42c178.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757936.7%29 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5571…4015backed Tundra Esports60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed OG37c165.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.344438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed OG23c154.29$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked OG36c154.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports56c149.04$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3163032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed OG39c130.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.423426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports58c108.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.874654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed OG12c107.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.553634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked OG20c101$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28748.3%42 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed OG21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2165625.6%168 W · 488 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd5…8d10backed Tundra Esports40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605127.5%14 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports59c99.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.998330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed OG52c97.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.863525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed OG63c90$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.79750.5%49 W · 48 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed OG45c89.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed OG24c84.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Tundra Esports65c80.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2214254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Tundra Esports67c78.35$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8619743.1%85 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Tundra Esports59c76.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.415166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Tundra Esports60c62.17$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1713657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Tundra Esports55c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.554940.8%20 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked OG41c53.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8710560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Tundra Esports36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.251030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddd…d755backed OG45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83b…8459backed Tundra Esports63c31.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.723458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tundra Esports63c28.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8434063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Tundra Esports67c27.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.042857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e29…530ebacked Tundra Esports79c24.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.243100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…bb07backed OG44c24.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.981266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Tundra Esports58c21.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.987244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…6fd5backed Tundra Esports57c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.052250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Tundra Esports72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8311054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1be…dc41backed OG60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Tundra Esports62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aaf…749dbacked Tundra Esports59c17.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.321471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.