Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a126356aa782fe82c726ff89abb99f1394d9cd0e7af68f04b6df01c800874b

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Tundra Esportsof OG, Tundra Esports
Resolved: Dec 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $250,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $287,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,895 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x06c0…e618backed Tundra Esports	60c	18,033$10,820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,213.34	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports	59c	16,820$9,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,820.52	201	59.7%120 W · 81 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed OG	41c	12,546$5,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,193.69	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed OG	18c	10,675$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,923	149	47.7%71 W · 78 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Tundra Esports	58c	9,216$5,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,872.97	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.23per pick	56cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed OG	43c	8,033$3,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,453.24	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0484…4e9ebacked OG	40c	7,014$2,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,797.68	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked OG	41c	7,000$2,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.43per pick	32cpaid	+155.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed OG	42c	6,855$2,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.63	148	40.5%60 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Tundra Esports	58c	6,498$3,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,741.21	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked OG	42c	6,323$2,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,655.56	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed OG	36c	5,963$2,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,173.49	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Tundra Esports	70c	5,690$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.38	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.14per pick	60cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked OG	39c	5,521$2,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,178.27	73	57.5%42 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed OG	41c	5,518$2,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,262.54	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked OG	16c	5,468$892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.49	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG	22c	5,307$1,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,145.37	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Tundra Esports	61c	4,879$2,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,902.81	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports	62c	4,839$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,838.71	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG	38c	4,595$1,746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,746.07	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed OG	42c	4,589$1,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,927.35	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8664…9981backed OG	41c	4,025$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650.45	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Tundra Esports	76c	3,962$2,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$967.75	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed OG	34c	3,875$1,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,308	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…d1abbacked Tundra Esports	74c	3,548$2,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.93	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	70cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports	58c	3,479$2,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,461.13	199	43.2%86 W · 113 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Tundra Esports	58c	3,368$1,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,414.38	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5466…0410backed OG	41c	3,112$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6d…9a37backed Tundra Esports	59c	3,105$1,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,273.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed OG	40c	3,072$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG	29c	3,000$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.98	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports	61c	2,652$1,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,022.26	291	60.1%175 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Tundra Esports	58c	2,500$1,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,041.65	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked OG	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed OG	40c	2,375$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.88	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed OG	40c	2,044$814 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813.62	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed OG	16c	2,033$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.32	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed OG	5c	2,010$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Tundra Esports	58c	2,000$1,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+4.2wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports	59c	1,800$1,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.99	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Tundra Esports	59c	1,700$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports	59c	1,695$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$694.92	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Tundra Esports	58c	1,666$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.41	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports	61c	1,635$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.8	128	68%87 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked OG	39c	1,572$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.88	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Tundra Esports	60c	1,550$929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked OG	39c	1,300$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.97	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Tundra Esports	78c	1,282$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.05	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed OG	40c	1,227$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.74	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-52%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked OG	39c	1,226$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.3	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports	60c	1,226$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.32	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed OG	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	178	52.8%94 W · 84 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports	59c	1,114$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.64	574	55.4%318 W · 256 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed OG	13c	1,073$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.43	168	35.7%60 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c1…e644backed Tundra Esports	76c	1,058$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.35	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked OG	7c	1,051$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.16	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG	31c	1,041$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.63	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Tundra Esports	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked OG	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Tundra Esports	59c	1,000$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed OG	24c	957.67$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.75	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x622a…2b59backed OG	39c	956.89$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.05	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed OG	26c	956.73$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.42	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG	26c	906.18$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.43	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Tundra Esports	59c	898.09$529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.12	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked OG	36c	889.58$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba9…2ccabacked Tundra Esports	59c	861.01$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.27	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd55…fc45backed Tundra Esports	59c	847.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.46	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked OG	42c	847$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.74	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed OG	28c	835.74$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.14	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0b…c415backed OG	30c	799.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG	40c	778.2$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa157…8641backed OG	20c	739.47$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.23	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x111f…4790backed Tundra Esports	69c	724.64$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.64	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…bca7backed Tundra Esports	59c	716.25$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.66	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports	58c	700$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tundra Esports	60c	700$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG	28c	661.91$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.73	897	49.6%445 W · 452 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd3…d057backed OG	12c	653.89$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.86	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…82fabacked Tundra Esports	59c	650$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+69.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa103…db38backed Tundra Esports	63c	634.92$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.92	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports	60c	629.3$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.3	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed OG	41c	609.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.1	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked OG	40c	606.58$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.63	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports	60c	604.52$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.52	95	44.2%42 W · 53 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Tundra Esports	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked OG	42c	560.95$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed OG	38c	549.99$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.5	465	35.1%163 W · 302 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed OG	34c	519.99$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.2	656	25.6%168 W · 488 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858b…b832backed Tundra Esports	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed OG	42c	500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	119	43.7%52 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Tundra Esports	60c	500$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed OG	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	81	37%30 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed OG	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports	61c	500$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Tundra Esports	59c	499.98$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.99	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f2…3263backed Tundra Esports	60c	496.89$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.89	61	75.4%46 W · 15 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	66cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed OG	43c	466.61$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	436	47.5%207 W · 229 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Tundra Esports	59c	457.63$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.63	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…d0afbacked Tundra Esports	60c	416.67$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.67	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)this page
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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