Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da6c45288dea981948ed07ac8a9d1cb4f71f4ddc92e1f151676e2ef83a852f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof OG, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 50c | 10,014$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed OG | 48c | 3,926$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.46 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed OG | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.98 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 3,475$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed OG | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,948$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.28 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG | 36c | 1,813$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.84 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed OG | 41c | 1,750$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,738$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.92 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed OG | 44c | 1,685$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.56 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,629$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 1,556$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.48 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed OG | 10c | 1,536$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.53 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OG | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,430$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.91 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed OG | 14c | 1,402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 13c | 1,223$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,157$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,122$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.89 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 1,100$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked OG | 39c | 1,100$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed OG | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 934.42$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.11 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed OG | 49c | 884.86$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.58 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked OG | 42c | 768.2$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 701.78$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Tundra Esports | 80c | 679.5$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 600.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…de95backed OG | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 42c | 600$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed OG | 42c | 584$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 582.53$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.71 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked OG | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 409.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.98 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…4152backed OG | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 399.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 393.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.14 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked OG | 31c | 356.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.06 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed OG | 44c | 343.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 314.04$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 264.23$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.19 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked OG | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…adeabacked OG | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed OG | 25c | 249.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed OG | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed OG | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed OG | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd5…8d10backed OG | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed OG | 37c | 190.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 186.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 180.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 175.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.37 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 164.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed OG | 20c | 144.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 142.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…df69backed OG | 45c | 135.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…9194backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 135.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 124$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked OG | 40c | 123.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 118.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked OG | 43c | 112.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked OG | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed OG | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 91.82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…4c29backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 89.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…bca7backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 88.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35db…d658backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 79.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed OG | 44c | 79.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked OG | 45c | 78.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed OG | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed OG | 42c | 74.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed OG | 40c | 71.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked OG | 34c | 70.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 66.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 57.71$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 57.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddd…d755backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 51.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…a973backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800e…09f8backed OG | 46c | 45.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed OG | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed OG | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 38.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed OG | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 34.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed OG | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…e2a2backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 31.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO3)Tundra Esports won
- Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.