TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex54c32,440$17,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,942.2753451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Tundra Esports74c19,025$14,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,158.425757.9%33 W · 24 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick72cpaid-22.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Tundra Esports49c14,674$7,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,125.112256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Yandex41c11,000$4,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,460.0510236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports44c7,858$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.761,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Tundra Esports48c5,315$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5552650%13 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed Team Yandex80c4,010$3,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.9112256.6%69 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tundra Esports33c3,599$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.1334146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports52c3,410$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.9834468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Team Yandex45c3,359$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.9621847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports41c2,518$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.1816149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports52c2,436$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.9215946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Tundra Esports2c2,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex45c2,179$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.2413155%72 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Tundra Esports52c2,025$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.831957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed Tundra Esports65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.9812348%59 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Tundra Esports69c1,996$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3803666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Tundra Esports55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports66c1,698$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Team Yandex37c1,632$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports33c1,404$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Tundra Esports54c1,041$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.833441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex30c1,014$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.7939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2249…3005backed Team Yandex52c867.66$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.139645.8%44 W · 52 L-12.1wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb73b…7155backed Team Yandex69c823.03$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.192556%14 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Tundra Esports34c815.01$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.058627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6916…7345backed Tundra Esports68c800.77$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.642339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Team Yandex55c777.83$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.838239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tundra Esports41c745.36$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.0845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team Yandex31c742.19$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.547846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Team Yandex11c700$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Tundra Esports7c604.13$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.66613.3%2 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-61%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports79c600$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47412868%87 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Tundra Esports68c584.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Team Yandex56c562.46$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2356848.8%277 W · 291 L-1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b64…ebdebacked Tundra Esports55c557.73$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex32c470$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.635758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Team Yandex65c463.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Team Yandex35c461.95$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.696139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex39c454.19$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.8953844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…e99bbacked Tundra Esports54c432.77$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Yandex54c368.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5510745.8%49 W · 58 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Tundra Esports37c356.41$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8420361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Yandex78c353.69$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.029544.2%42 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports28c336.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.11,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex45c327.56$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.2373841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Yandex35c322.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.8617342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Yandex61c295.08$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0829160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Team Yandex31c267.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.927244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Tundra Esports47c242.86$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1131040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Team Yandex40c242.03$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2217946.9%84 W · 95 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Yandex62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9454445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dea…ee97backed Team Yandex52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+86%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Team Yandex36c234.18$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517936.7%29 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Tundra Esports39c201.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9941…158fbacked Tundra Esports25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Tundra Esports41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Team Yandex50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10064149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex20c199.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.552,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Team Yandex53c189.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.167538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e47…3d20backed Team Yandex57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.444065%26 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe32c…db1bbacked Tundra Esports24c174.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.572334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Team Yandex33c170.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.42751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Yandex35c169.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9914251.4%73 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed Tundra Esports49c161.17$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.856633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Yandex27c160$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.412533.6%42 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Tundra Esports49c156$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4419251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd549…296dbacked Tundra Esports66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Team Yandex37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.54717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Yandex30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10546535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex47c140$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Tundra Esports52c125.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4895…4a75backed Tundra Esports52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Team Yandex55c109.02$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0615852.5%83 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4512965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Yandex58c100.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2610048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Team Yandex35c100.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Tundra Esports80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked Tundra Esports74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.63141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Yandex33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6770236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Team Yandex76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.775962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Tundra Esports58c99.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.747236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c61…470fbacked Tundra Esports58c96.75$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.369544.2%42 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked Tundra Esports28c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.611945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Tundra Esports57c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6614254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6d…9148backed Tundra Esports14c80$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex34c80$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.863032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee8…6c2ebacked Team Yandex47c77.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.152853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8330…b88fbacked Tundra Esports35c73.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.98330.1%25 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Tundra Esports56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013657.4%78 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Team Yandex37c67.63$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6311943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked Team Yandex49c66.55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.887149.3%35 W · 36 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Tundra Esports55c65.38$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3611054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3b…9194backed Tundra Esports66c63.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.791353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Tundra Esports25c61.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1715742%66 W · 91 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex64c54.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7345061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb87f…d2b1backed Tundra Esports21c51.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Team Yandex47c50.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.579555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed Tundra Esports56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810763.6%68 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Tundra Esports44c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.